Sebastian Baez vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction 4/6/25 Bucharest Tennis Picks

• Baez is a seven-time champion on the ATP Tour, with six of those trophies coming on the dirt.

• Cobolli has not yet won an ATP title but is a two-time champion on the Challenger level (on clay).

Sebastian Baez Preview

Sebastian Baez reached his first final in Bucharest on debut after beating defending champion Marton Fucsovics in the semifinals. Baez won 6-2, 6-2 in under 90 minutes to progress unscathed. He hit nine winners to 24 unforced errors in the match. Baez landed 79% of first serves in play and won 67% of first serve points (33/49).

The Argentinian won 54% of second serve points (7/13) and saved all six breakpoints on serve. Baez won 49% of return points (26/53) and broke Fucsovics four times. Baez has accounted for wins over Gabriel Diallo and Francisco Comesana in three sets. This will be his third final on clay this season. He won the ATP 500 in Rio and was a runner-up in Santiago.

Flavio Cobolli Preview

Flavio Cobolli powered past Damir Dzumhur in the second semifinal to reach his second ATP final of his career. The match took 15 games to decide and lasted 65 minutes. Cobolli prevailed 6-3, 6-0 to pick up his sixth win of the season. In the victory, Cobolli hit 20 winners and 21 unforced errors, including three aces and two double faults. Cobolli landed 62% of first serves in play and won 79% of first serve points (23/29).

The Italian won 63% of second serve points (12/19) and did not face a breakpoint. Cobolli won 54% of return points (27/50) and broke Dzumhur four times in the match. Cobolli lost his previous ATP final to Sebastian Korda in Washington last season. He won his two Challenger titles on clay.

Sebastian Baez vs Flavio Cobolli Head-To-Head

• Baez and Cobolli have not played on tour. This will be their first meeting.

Sebastian Baez vs Flavio Cobolli Prediction

Baez starts as the favorite at -181, and we agree. He is already a seven-time champion at the Tour level, and he's only 24. Baez's success has been on clay. He doesn't possess an overpowering presence, but the rhythm he finds on this surface is almost unmatched. He's got patience and an exceptional rally tolerance to outlast opponents, and it was clear when the draw was made last weekend that Baez would most likely be competing for the title this Sunday. I can't deny that he's a vastly superior player than Cobolli on clay. That said, I like his chances of adding to his trophy cabinet.