Frances Tiafoe vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction 4/5/25 Houston Tennis Picks

The second seed won 56% of second serve points (14/25) and saved two of three breakpoints. Tiafoe won 47% of return points (36/76) and broke Michelsen's serve four times after manufacturing as many as 16 breakpoints. It is the first time this season Tiafoe has won back-to-back matches. It is his eighth win in 14 matches. He had beaten Adam Walton in straight sets before this.

Brandon Nakashima Preview

Brandon Nakashima beat Christopher Eubanks 6-4, 6-4 in 83 minutes to reach his first semifinal in Houston. It is also his second Tour-level semifinal on clay (the other was in Lyon in 2023). In the victory, Nakashima hit 15 winners and 17 unforced errors, including seven aces and two double faults. Nakashima landed 57% of first serves in play and won 77% of first serve points (23/30).

The fourth seed won 74% of second serve points (17/23) and did not face a breakpoint in the match. Nakashima won 34% of return points (22/65) and broke Eubanks twice in the match. He improves to 12-8 for the season. Nakashima had beaten Mackenzie McDonald in straight sets before this.

Frances Tiafoe vs Brandon Nakashima Head-To-Head

• Tiafoe and Nakashima have met six times on the ATP level.

• Tiafoe leads the head-to-head 5-1 but lost to Nakashima for the first time in their most recent meeting in Tokyo last year.

• Half of their six meetings were settled in three sets, and there have been at least 20 games in five matches.

• This will be their first meeting on clay.

Frances Tiafoe vs Brandon Nakashima Prediction

Tiafoe was the man to beat in the last two editions in Houston but he's lost that fear factor after a dismal start to 2025. opponents are taking advantage of that poor form and exposing his weaknesses. When his game is not clicking, the frustration can easily get to him. Nakashima is a steady baseliner , with solid fundamentals, who doesn't commit too many unforced errors. Give me Nakashima at plus money.