Daria Kasatkina vs Sofia Kenin Prediction 4/3/25 Charleston Tennis Picks

Kasatkina landed 67% of first serves in play and won 66% of first serve points (19/29). She won 57% of second serve points (8/14) and saved four of five breakpoints. Kasatkina tallied 69% of return points won (27/39) and broke Davis six times in the match. This was the fifth seed's 10th win from 18 matches. Kasatkina played her first match under the Australian flag after switching allegiance from Russia. She is a former champion in Charleston and has never lost before the quarterfinal in this tournament in her five previous appearances.

Sofia Kenin Preview

Sofia Kenin won two matches to reach the last 16 of the Charleston Open. She defeated Bernarda Pera in her opening match to set up a second-round showdown against former champion Belinda Bencic. Kenin proved too strong for the Swiss, toppling the 17th seed 6-0, 6-3 in 84 minutes. In the victory, Kenin hit 23 winners and 13 unforced errors, including five aces and three double faults.

Kenin landed 67% of first serves in play and won 60% of first serve points (26/43). She won 62% of second serve points (13/21) and saved seven of eight breakpoints. Kenin compiled 58% of return points (25/43) and broke Bencic's serve five times. This is the furthest Kenin has reached in Charleston after losing thrice in the first and second rounds before. She is 14-8 for the season and has reached two quarterfinals this season.

Daria Kasatkina vs Sofia Kenin Head-To-Head

• Kasatkina and Kenin have met six times on the WTA level.

• The head-to-head is locked at 3-3.

• Kasatkina beat Kenin in their last meeting at the 2025 Indian Wells in three sets.

• Four of their six meetings have been settled in three sets.

• They have never played on clay in the past. All six meetings were on hard courts.

Daria Kasatkina vs Sofia Kenin Prediction

This is a very interesting rivalry that is evenly poised, and considering that they will meet for the first time on clay courts, it only adds a bit of intrigue. I like Kasatkina though. She's a tactician on this surface, with a fine blend of controlled aggression and defensive skills, and the green clay of Charleston is a perfect court profile for her. The record speaks for itself, with a title win in 2017 and a runner-up finish last season. She's also not lost before the quarters. So, Kenin, despite her stunning upset over Bencic, will be the underdog, and I agree with this line.