Jessica Pegula vs Anna Kalinskaya Prediction 3/23/25 Miami Tennis Picks

In the victory, Pegula hit 12 winners and 14 unforced errors. That included three aces and one double fault. Pegula landed 61% of first serves in play and won 78% of first serve points (28/36). The fourth seed won 65% of second serve points (15/23) and saved one break point. Pegula compiled 41% of return points (25/61) and broke Pera twice in the match.

Pegula has reached the quarterfinals or better in each of her last three trips to Miami. She improves to 16-5 for the season with the win over Pera. Pegula has now won eight of her last nine matches at the Tour level. That run includes her first WTA title of the season in Austin.

Anna Kalinskaya Preview

Anna Kalinskaya is the 32nd seed and kicked off her Miami campaign with a straight sets victory. She beat Moyuka Uchijima 6-1, 6-3 in an hour and 15 minutes.

In the victory, Kalinskaya hit 22 winners and 28 unforced errors. She didn't account for any aces but tallied two double faults. Kalinskaya landed 63% of first serves in play and won 70% of first serve points (26/37). The Russian won 68% of second serve points (15/22) and saved all six break points in the match.

Kalinskaya compiled 49% of return points (26/53) and converted four of eight break points. This was only Kalinskaya's fourth win in 10 matches this season. She snapped a four-match losing streak.

Jessica Pegula vs Anna Kalinskaya Head-To-Head

• Pegula and Kalinskaya have met twice at the WTA level.

• Pegula leads Kalinskaya 2-0 in their head-to-head.

• Pegula beat Kalinskaya to win the Berlin title on grass last summer in their most recent clash.

Jessica Pegula vs Anna Kalinskaya Prediction

Pegula knows too well not to underestimate Kalinskaya despite her physical and form struggles this season. The Russian had multiple match points when they met in the Berlin final last season. And given the long list of upsets this week in Miami, this is far from a walk in the park for the fourth seed who will need to play every point with full commitment. If you are looking for generous returns without risking too much on the Pegula ML, then the over 19.5 games should easily hit.