Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Fils Prediction 3/13/25 Indian Wells Tennis Picks

Medvedev landed 61% of first serves in play and won 71% of first serve points (22/31). The fifth seed won 45% of second serve points (9/20) and saved three of five break points.

Medvedev compiled 56% of return points (31/55) and converted six of eight break points in the match. This was Medvedev's 11 win from 16 matches in 2025. 

It is the third time he's made the quarterfinals in Indian Wells (was a runner-up in each of the last two years). Medvedev has lost eight games in three matches (although he third-round win over Alex Michelsen ended in retirement after just two games).

Arthur Fils Preview

Arthur Fils defeated American Marcos Giron in three sets. The match took 25 games to decide. Fils prevailed 6-2, 2-6, 6-3 in just under two hours. In the victory, Fils hit 27 winners and 45 unforced errors. That tally included four aces.

Fils landed 63% of first serves in play and won 63% of first serve points (32/51). The Frenchman won 70% of second serve points (21/30) and saved four of six break points.

Fils won 42% of return points (37/88) and broke Giron three times. The World No. 21 has now reached his maiden quarterfinal in Indian Wells and his second of 2025 (Hong Kong). He improves to 8-4 for the season.

Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Fils Head-To-Head

• Medvedev and Fils have played once on the ATP Tour.

• The Russian won a first-round match at the 2023 Vienna Open in straight sets.

Daniil Medvedev vs Arthur Fils Prediction

Fils has an abundance of power to hit through any defense in the world, but we reckon Medvedev's depth and court coverage will be a little too much to handle for the young Frenchman. Medvedev has reached the last two finals in Indian Wells and has regained his composure and form in the first week of of this tournament. So, he likes it here. There's only one man in the draw who is likely to stop him and it is not Fils. Give me Medvedev in two.