Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Holger Rune Prediction 3/11/25 Indian Wells Tennis Picks

In the victory, Tsitsipas landed 52% of first serves and won 87% of first serve points (20/23). He won 73% of second serve points (8/11) and did not face a single break point in the match.

Tsitsipas won 42% of return points (22/52) and broke Berrettini's three times. This was the Greek's seventh straight win on Tour, a run that saw him clinch the ATP 500 title in Dubai.

Tsitsipas improves to 10-4 for the season and will look to reach the last eight at the desert for the second time.

Holger Rune Preview

Holger Rune maintained his perfect record against Ugo Humbert. He defeated the Frenchman in three sets to progress into the round of 16. The match took 34 games to decide and stretched for over two and a half hours.

In the victory, Rune hit 29 winners and 42 unforced errors. That included six aces and nine double faults. He landed 51% of first serves in play and won 75% of first serve points (42/56). The Dane won 52% of second serve points (28/54) and saved seven of 10 break points.

Rune won 39% of return points (41/104) and broke Humbert four times in the match. It is the second time in his career Rune has made it to the fourth round in Indian Wells (was a quarterfinalist last year). He improves to 8-6 for the season.

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Holger Rune Head-To-Head

• Tsitsipas and Rune have met three times on Tour.

• Rune leads 3-0 in their head-to-head although their last match at the 2023 ATP Finals ended after three games because of Tsitsipas' retirement.

Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Holger Rune Prediction

I'm going Tsitsipas here. There's no denying that Rune has always had the upper hand in this match, beating Tsitsipas at his own game in the past. However, the subtle improvements and improvisation done by Tsitsipas this season have rekindled his game and form. A change of racket is probably the difference maker that has Tsitsipas' game clicking and tough to beat. Attacking his previously fragile backhand was a norm by opponents, but that wing has become much more solid since the switch to a bigger wand. It's hard to go against form. Tsitsipas hasn't dropped a set in his last four matches and just outclassed Berrettini in the last round.