Jessica Pegula vs Elina Svitolina Prediction 3/11/25 Indian Wells Tennis Picks

Pegula landed 78% of first serves in play and won 67% of first serve points (29/43). The American won 50% of second serve points (6/12) and saved three of four break points. The fourth seed compiled 60% of return points (25/42) and broke Wang five times.

Pegula has reached the quarterfinals or better in three of her six tournaments this season. She has won her last seven matches on Tour.

Elina Svitolina Preview

Elina Svitolina defeated American 14th seed Danielle Collins in straight sets. The Ukrainian prevailed 6-2, 6-4 in about 80 minutes. In the victory, Svitolina hammered 14 winners and 29 unforced errors. That included four aces and eight double faults.

Svitolina landed 46% of first serves in play and won 79% of first serve points (26/33). She won 45% of second serve points (17/38) and saved four of five break points. Svitolina compiled 47% of return points (21/45) and converted all four break points on return.

Svitolina improves to 8-4 for the year. She has won four of her last six matches on Tour. Her most recent defeats have been to Clara Tauson and Jessica Pegula.

Jessica Pegula vs Elina Svitolina Head-To-Head

• Pegula and Svitolina have met seven times at all levels.

• Pegula leads Svitolina 5-2 and has won their last five hard-court meetings between them including in the second round of Doha 2025.

Jessica Pegula vs Elina Svitolina Prediction

Whoever takes control of the baseline wins this. Svitolina has been hit-and-miss this season, but can easily flip the switch when she gets a run going. She's won back-to-back matches for the first time since the Australian Open. So, she can be dangerous and will present a tough challenge for Pegula. The American fourth seed has outperformed Svitolina this season, winning more matches and lifting a title in the warm-up tournament before Indian Wells. I'm going with the overs with Pegula edging this on ML.