Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsen Prediction 3/9/25 Indian Wells Tennis Picks

Medvedev landed 40% of first serves in play and won 90% of first serve points (19/21). The fifth seed won 45% of second serve points (14/31) and saved one of two break points on his serve.

Medvedev recorded 52% of return points won (32/62) and broke Bu five times in the match. Medvedev improves to 9-5 for the season. He has reached the Indian Wells in each of the last two years (losing to Carlos Alcaraz).

Alex Michelsen Preview

Alex Michelsen beat fellow American Colton Smith in straight sets. Smith came through qualifying and scored his first win at an ATP 1000 tournament in the first round win over Flavio Cobolli. But he was no match for the 31st-seeded Michelsen who sealed victory in under two hours.

The match took 19 games to decide. In the victory, Michelsen hit two aces and three double faults. He landed 59% of first serves in play and won 67% of first serve points (35/52). Michelsen won 56% of second serve points (20/36) and saved five of six break points.

He tallied 40% of return points (25/62) and broke Smith three times in the match. Michelsen has now 11 of 17 matches in all competitions this season. It is the fourth win in his last seven since the start of February.

Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsen Head-To-Head

• Medvedev and Michelsen have never played before this.

Daniil Medvedev vs Alex Michelsen Prediction

A lot has been written about Daniil Medvedev's poor form coming to Indian Wells. But this might just be the tournament that sparks him to life. Still, I'm not getting carried away with his recent routine win and professional performance which was devoid of drama.

Medvedev has tripped a lot in the last six months and it's hard to rely on him. If you nail the right amount of pressure, then Medvedev will crack. He could do with a deep run, but because he's faltering too many times for his liking, he lacks the confidence to string a few wins together. Michelsen will step up. He's knocking at the door of the top 30. If he comes out all guns blazing, there is a good chance he will make the evening a turbulent one for last year's finalist.