Fabian Marozsan vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Prediction 3/7/25 Indian Wells Tennis Picks

Indian Wells Prediction: Fabian Marozsan vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Friday, March 7, 2025

Betting Odds: Fabian Marozsan -119 / Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard -106 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: Tennis TV

Fabian Marozsan and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard meet in the second round of the 2025 BNP Paribas Open in Indian Wells on Friday, March 7, 2025. Here's our Fabian Marozsan vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard prediction. This article will also include a Fabian Marozsan vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard pick.

 

Fabian Marozsan Preview

Fabian Marozsan is coming off a straight-sets win against Spain's Pedro Martinez in the opening round of the BNP Paribas Open. The match took 17 games to decide and lasted an hour and four minutes. In the victory, Marozsan hit 28 winners and 24 unforced errors. His tally of winners included 10 aces.

Marozsan landed 67% of first serves in play and won 81% of first serve points (25/31). The Hungarian won 80% of second serve points (12/15) and saved the one break point he faced on serve. Marozsan tallied 45% of return points (22/49) and broke Martinez three times in the match.

This was Marozsan's eighth win from 14 matches in 2025. It was also his first win since mid-February in Doha. Marozsan has three wins and three losses in his last six matches. He reached the round of 16 in his Indian Wells debut last year.

 

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Preview

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard is the 29th seed in the draw. He got a bye in the first round and will therefore begin his campaign in the second round. Mpetshi Perricard is ranked 30th in the ATP rankings, which is a spot below his career-high of No. 29.

The big-serving Frenchman has played in three Tour-level tournaments in 2025, winning four matches and losing three. He started his season in Brisbane, reaching the semis there and losing to Reilly Opelka.

The Australian Open was probably his most underperforming tournament. Mpetshi Perricard lost in the first round to Gael Monfils. He is coming off a straight-sets defeat to Daniil Medvedev in Dubai. Mpetshi Perricard has never played in the main draw of Indian Wells in the past.

 

Fabian Marozsan vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Head-To-Head

• Marozsan and Mpetshi Perricard have history on the ATP Tour. This will be their first match on the head-to-head.

 

Fabian Marozsan vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Prediction

Marozsan is the slight favorite according to the oddsmakers, which might be mildly surprising at first glance, but it's easy to see why. I think this is more of a 50/50 matchup and the odds indicate so. It's a tight line. Mpetshi Perricard will almost always have the last laugh on quick hard courts because of his monstrous serve that not many players have the exceptional return to break and has an excellent tie-break record. But Marozsan can use all his craft to pose some tricky questions, with drop shots, ground stroke acceleration, and slices. Marozsan is a tough cookie when his game is on and exceeded expectations by reaching the second week of Indian Wells last year. GMP will need a flawless serving performance. I'm leaning on the games here. 

Nur’s Pick Over 22.5 games in the match

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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