Belinda Bencic vs Tatjana Maria Prediction 3/6/25 Indian Wells Tennis Picks

Bencic was a semi-finalist back in 2019 when she lost to German legend Angelique Kerber. That remains her best result in the tournament. Bencic has enjoyed a great return from maternity, winning her first WTA title as a mother in Abu Dhabi during the Middle East Swing.

Overall Bencic has won 13 matches from 17 this season and is coming off a three-set defeat to Emma Navarro in Dubai. However, she has not lost an opening match in 2025 and will be an odds-on favorite to win this match.

Tatjana Maria Preview

Tatjana Maria is ranked 87th in the WTA rankings and will compete in her ninth Indian Wells main draw. Maria has just three main draw wins in the history of this tournament, with one of those coming last year when she beat Arantxa Rus.

Maria has eight wins at all levels this season. Five wins came during the title-winning week at the Bangalore ITF.

The German veteran has tallied one win from her last four matches. She is coming off a second-round defeat to Anna Blinkova in Austin.

Belinda Bencic vs Tatjana Maria Head-To-Head

• Bencic and Maria have played once on the WTA Tour. The Swiss beat the German in straight sets at the 2015 Miami Open.

Belinda Bencic vs Tatjana Maria Prediction

Bencic is a strong favorite to progress and nothing seems to suggest we'll see an upset. There's just not a single interesting angle to give Maria any sort of optimism. Bencic has only lost four matches this season and none of those against players outside the Top 30. It takes the cream of the crop to unsettle her. 

Maria plays a very peculiar style of tennis, slicing almost every ball in the hope that her opponent would fumble her shots. Players like Bencic know how to handle such awkward low-bouncing balls and can redirect them with so much pace for easy winners. Maria's style just won't cut it and we're backing Bencic to win and cover the games handicap.