Iga Swiatek vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction 2/14/25 Doha Tennis Picks

WTA Qatar Open Prediction: Iga Swiatek vs Jelena Ostapenko

Friday, February 14, 2025

Betting Odds: Iga Swiatek -333 / Jelena Ostapenko +250 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: WTA TV

Iga Swiatek and Jelena Ostapenko meet in the semifinal of the 2025 WTA Qatar Open in Doha on Friday, February 14, 2025. Here's our Iga Swiatek vs Jelena Ostapenko prediction. This preview will also include an Iga Swiatek vs Jelena Ostapenko pick.

 

Iga Swiatek Preview

Iga Swiatek is coming off a straight sets win over Elena Rybakina. It is the second time this season that Swiatek has beaten her big rival Rybakina and leveled the head-to-head to 4-4.

The match took 20 games to decide and lasted an hour and 36 minutes. Swiatek prevailed 6-2, 7-5.

In the victory, Swiatek hit one ace and one double fault. She landed 68% of her first serves in play and won 70% of first serve points (30/43).

Swiatek won 60% of second serve points (12/20) and saved three of four break points. The Pole won 45% of return points (30/66) and converted four of nine break points.

 

Jelena Ostapenko Preview

Jelena Ostapenko got her revenge against Ons Jabeur who had beaten her in Abu Dhabi this past week. Ostapenko took out the Tunisian in straight sets to reach her third semifinal in Doha (former finalist).

The match took 16 games to decide and lasted an hour and 11 minutes. In the victory, Ostapenko hit four aces an five double faults.

She landed 60% of first serves in play and won 71% of first serve points (25/35). Ostapenko won 43% of second serve points (10/23) and saved three of four break points.

The Latvian won 58% of return points (29/50) and broke Jabeur five times in the match.

 

Iga Swiatek vs Jelena Ostapenko Head-To-Head

• Swiatek and Ostapenko have met four times on the WTA level.

• Remarkably, Ostapenko leads Swiatek 4-0 with three of their four meetings being on hard courts.

 

Iga Swiatek vs Jelena Ostapenko Betting Odds & Match Facts

• Swiatek starts as the pre-match favorite at -333. Ostapenko is the underdog at +250.

• The over 2.5 sets in the match has odds of +170.

• Swiatek owns the longest win streak in Doha with 15 wins.

• Swiatek hasn't lost a match on Doha since 2020 on her debut.

• Ostapenko has a perfect 4-0 record against Swiatek.

• Ostapenko has reached one final in Doha in the past but lost her other semifinal in 2022.

 

Iga Swiatek vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction

Beating Iga Swiatek at the Qatar Open is proving to be an impossible task. Three straight titles in this tournament and she hasn't lost a match in five years. But one woman has been a thorn in her game throughout her career and that is Ostapenko. Whenever they meet, the Latvian's power completely overwhelms Swiatek.

So, if that unbelievable Swiatek streak is to end, then Ostapenko is the likeliest to do it because she has a perfect 4-0 record in the head-to-head. Also, when you consider that Ostapenko has lost just eight games combined in her last two matches against Jasmine Paolini and Ons Jabeur, it's not like she's low in confidence. I'll go with the upset here. It's not 2023 levels from Swiatek when she was unstoppable in Doha, so the Ostapenko plus money looks extremely enticing.

Nur’s Pick Jelena Ostapenko in three sets

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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