Emma Navarro vs Daria Kasatkina Prediction Australian Open Tennis Picks 1/20/25

Emma Navarro secured her spot in the second week of the Australian Open for the first time. That was after the American beat two-time Wimbledon finalist Ons Jabeur in the third round.

The match took 29 games to decide and lasted two hours and five minutes. Navarro hit 13 winners and 32 unforced errors. She compiled one ace and five double faults.

Navarro landed 64% of first serves and won 62% of first-serve points (39/63). She won 37% of second serve points (13/35) and saved 10 of 16 break points.

Navarro won 46% of return points (40/87) and 45% of net points (9/20). She converted six of 14 break points.

Navarro lost in the same stage on her Melbourne debut last year, but made amends in another thrilling three-setter.

All of Navarro's three matches in the first week lasted three sets and fought back from a break down in the deciding set in matches against Peyton Stearns and Wang Xiyu.

Daria Kasatkina Preview

Daria Kasatkina is coming off a straight sets win over Yulia Putintseva. The match took 18 games to decide and lasted an hour and 21 minutes.

Kasatkina fired 15 winners and 23 unforced errors and was certainly aided by Putintseva's high number of errors (36 in the match).

Kasatkina landed 67% of first serves and won 65% of first-serve points (24/37).

The Russian won 56% of second serve points (10/18) and saved one of three break points.

Kasatkina won 55% of return points (31/56) and 67% of net points (4/6). She converted all six break points she had.

This is the first time in 10 tries that Kasatkina has reached the fourth round of the Australian Open.

Emma Navarro vs Daria Kasatkina Head-To-Head

• Navarro and Kasatkina have never played each other on the WTA Tour.

• Navarro is ranked eighth in the WTA rankings, while Kasatkina is 10th.

Emma Navarro vs Daria Kasatkina Prediction

It's a top-10 clash for a spot in the quarterfinal of the Australian Open. I'm on Navarro for this one. She has to be considered the favorite. She just doesn't know when she's beaten. Navarro has looked on the brink of exiting the tournament multiple times but survived. That offensive mindset to go for her shots while trailing so deep in deciding sets has earned my vote.

I'm still not sold on Kasatkina even though she has not dropped a set in the first week. This has been her poorest Grand Slam in terms of results and I trust Navarro to prevent her from reaching the last eight.