Joao Fonseca vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction Australian Open Tennis Picks 1/16/25

Australian Open Prediction: Joao Fonseca vs Lorenzo Sonego

Thursday, January 16, 2025

Betting Odds: Joao Fonseca -500 / Lorenzo Sonego +390 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: ESPN

Joao Fonseca and Lorenzo Sonego meet in the second round of the 2025 Australian Open on Thursday, January 16, 2025. Here's our Joao Fonseca vs Lorenzo Sonego prediction. This preview also includes a Joao Fonseca vs Lorenzo Sonego pick.

 

Joao Fonseca Preview

 

Joao Fonseca won on his Grand Slam main draw debut. He turned World No. 9 Andrey Rublev into the biggest casualty in the men’s draw so far.

Fonseca defeated the Russian in straight sets with the nerveless performance defying his age. The match took 35 games to decide and lasted two hours and 26 minutes. Two of those sets were tie-breaks.

Fonseca recorded 51 winners and 32 unforced errors. That included 14 aces and one double fault. He landed 70% of first serves and won 79% of first-serve points (66/84).

The Brazilian wonderkid won 53% of second-serve points (19/36). He held in 16 of 17 service games in the match and saved five of six break points on his serve.

Fonseca won 36% of return points (38/107) and 78% of net points (14/18). He converted two of 10 break points.

This was his 14th straight win, dating back to the end of last season.

 

Lorenzo Sonego Preview

 

World No. 55 Lorenzo Sonego beat former Australian Open champion Stan Wawrinka in four sets. The match took 46 games to decide and lasted three hours and 14 minutes.

In the victory, Sonego recorded 63 winners and 30 unforced errors of which 12 were aces and six double faults. Sonego landed 62% of first serves and won 84% of first-serve points (69/82).

He won 54% of second-serve points (27/50). Sonego held in 21 of 23 service games in the match and saved nine of 11 break points on his serve.

He won 28% of return points (31/112) and 77% of net points (30/39). Sonego converted four of five break points.

This was the Italian’s third win of the season.

 

Joao Fonseca vs Lorenzo Sonego Head-To-Head

 

• Fonseca and Sonego have met once on the ATP Tour.

• Fonseca beat the Italian in straight sets in the first round of the 2024 Bucharest Open last year on clay.

• Fonseca is unbeaten in his last 14 matches in all competitions.

 

Joao Fonseca vs Lorenzo Sonego Prediction

 

Fonseca is special. There are not many 18-year-olds who can sustain such high-intensity tennis on their Grand Slam main draw debut against a top 10 player. The only ones that I can recall for now are Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner and the fact that several tennis fans have been quick to place him in that bracket with this duo says a lot about his ability.

It was a case of baptism by fire, but Fonseca just didn't flinch, completely obliterating Andrey Rublev. And now out of the blue, he's a contender to reach the quarterfinal in this section of the draw. However, I expect him to encounter some stiff challenges along the way starting in the second round against big-serving Lorenzo Sonego who is probably going to have far less pressure to win. Four or more sets is worth a punt.

 

Nur’s Pick Over 3.5 sets in the match

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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