Aryna Sabalenka vs Clara Tauson Prediction Australian Open Tennis Picks 1/17/25

Australian Open Prediction: Aryna Sabalenka vs Clara Tauson

Friday, January 17, 2025

Betting Odds: Aryna Sabalenka -1000 / Clara Tauson +550 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: ESPN

Aryna Sabalenka and Clara Tauson meet in the third round of the 2025 Australian Open on Friday, January 17, 2025. Here's our Aryna Sabalenka vs Clara Tauson prediction. This preview also includes an Aryna Sabalenka vs Clara Tauson pick.

 

Aryna Sabalenka Preview

 

Aryna Sabalenka remains undefeated at the Australian Open after notching her 16th successive win at the tournament. Sabalenka overcame Spain’s rising star Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in straight sets.

The match took 21 games to decide and lasted an hour and 36 minutes. The match was a lot more competitive, especially in the second set.

Bouzas Maneiro came within a game of pushing the match into a decider. Sabalenka recorded 26 winners and 27 unforced errors. She hit two aces and one double fault.

Sabalenka landed 68% of first serves and won 61% of first-serve points (33/54). She won 58% of second-serve points (15/26).

The Belarusian held in eight of 11 service games in the match and saved eight of 11 break points on her serve. She won 48% of return points (29/61) and 64% of net points (9/14), converting five of six break points.

This was Sabalenka’s seventh win of the season and has not lost in 2025.

 

Clara Tauson Preview

 

Clara Tauson, for her part, beat Germany’s Tatjana Maria in straight sets to reach the third round. The match took 16 games to decide and lasted 69 minutes.

Tauson, who is undefeated this year after lifting the title in Auckland, recorded 35 winners and 19 unforced errors.

Tauson landed 64% of first serves and won 86% of first-serve points (24/28). She won 38% of second-serve points (6/16).

The Dane held in seven of eight service games in the match and only faced one break point in the match. Tauson won 56% of return points (30/54) and 71% of net points (25/35), converting five of six break points on Maria’s serve.

She improves to 7-0 in 2025 and will be a dangerous opponent for the two-time defending champion.

 

Aryna Sabalenka vs Clara Tauson Head-To-Head

 

• Sabalenka and Tauson have never played before. This will be their first professional meeting.

 

Aryna Sabalenka vs Clara Tauson Prediction

 

It's been three years since Sabalenka was on the losing end of a match at the Australian Open. She has also not lost a set since she won the 2023 final. But the Belarusian's matches bring with them a familiar tale. She was dominating against Stephens and Bouzas Maneiro and then suffered the occasional dip in consistency midway through and then finished strongly. 

She can't afford to do that against in-form opponents and Tauson is very much in the form of her life right now. Armed with a ferocious and powerful ground strokes, the Dane will put her seven-match win streak on the line up against Sabalenka's 16-match undefeated streak. I expect Sabalenka to overpower Tauson, but I refuse to give in on this match hitting the games spread in favor of the underdog. Sabalenka has been giving away too many games for her liking and that pattern should continue.

Nur’s Pick Clara Tauson games handicap +5.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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