Jasmine Paolini vs Donna Vekic - Wimbledon Tennis Prediction and Pick 7/11/24

Jasmine Paolini vs Donna Vekic

Thursday, July 11, 2024

Jasmine Paolini -175 / Donna Vekic +142 Click Here for the Latest Odds

Where to Watch: USA: ESPN, UK: BBC, Africa: Supersport, Latin America: ESPN Stream live sports and exclusive originals on ESPN+. Sign up now! Advertisement

Jasmine Paolini will face Donna Vekic in the semifinal of the 2024 Wimbledon Championships. The match is scheduled for Thursday, July 11, 2024. Here's our Jasmine Paolini vs Donna Vekic prediction.

Jasmine Paolini vs Donna Vekic Preview

Jasmine Paolini made Italian history on Tuesday. She became the first woman from her country to reach a Wimbledon semifinal. And not many people would have called that long shot at the start of the tournament.

For a player who enjoyed a breakthrough season on the WTA in 2024 with a maiden WTA 1000 title on hard courts in Dubai and a run to the Roland Garros final last month, Wimbledon was probably the last tournament that the diminutive Paolini would forge a result quite like this. She had just six wins on grass before this year at 28. But there's a first time for everything, and Paolini, who will become a Top 5 player on Monday regardless of Thursday's semifinal result, has merited her spot.

Donna Vekic will also contest her first Wimbledon semifinal. The powerful Croatian, ranked 37th in the world rankings, is one of the beneficiaries of the top seeds crashing out of the tournament.

Vekic only needed to beat one seed to reach the last four (28th seed Dayana Yastremska), and she ended the Cinderella story for the New Zealand qualifier Lulu Sun in the quarterfinal. Vekic fought back from a set down to win 5-7, 6-4, 6-1, finishing the match with 32 winners and 26 unforced errors.

Jasmine Paolini vs Donna Vekic Head-To-Head

• Paolini leads Vekic 2-1 in their head-to-head.

• All three meetings were contested on hard courts, and none lasted beyond two sets.

Jasmine Paolini vs Donna Vekic Prediction

Expect fireworks in this one. Paolini has a ferocious forehand that completely obliterated the in-form Emma Navarro in the quarterfinal. The American was outwitted tactically, and Vekic cannot afford to engage in cross-court exchanges with the Italian from the wing. It was the pattern of play that proved costly for Navarro. But there's more to the Paolini toolbox than just the forehand with her slice working so well on grass, and she moves almost effortlessly on her least favorite surface. All these strengths mask her fragile serve. That's where Vekic will outplay her opponent.

The advantage for Paolini is that she's been at this stage before, and it was only last month that she excelled, beating Mirra Andreeva to reach the French Open final. Nerves will play a factor here, and that probably favors Paolini slightly, given the season and the run she's had from Roland Garros and now at Wimbledon. They've never played a three-set match in the head-to-head, and I'll lean towards that with an edge on Paolini.

 

Nur’s Pick Jasmine Paolini in three sets

Get Premium Picks Start Winning Now »
The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

Mitch's Take...

MLB Picks & Predictions Today 7/20/24 | Ron's Rundown

18+ Has gambling become a problem for you? Call the National Problem Gambling Hotline.
1-800-522-4700 | ncpgambling.org

Credit Guaranteed Packages

Packages with Credit Guarantees automatically give you a credit if the package does not turn a profit—the sum of betting all individual picks. THESE ARE NOT PARLAYS UNLESS OTHERWISE CLEARLY STATED. If a credit guaranteed package does not profit, a credit for its full purchase price is automatically issued after picks are graded and verified.

For example, if you purchase a $39.95 package that doesn’t profit, you’ll get a $39.95 credit towards any future purchase(s) on our site. Credits are usually issued within hours of a game’s conclusion, so please allow a few hours for final verification.

To use your credits, log in to your account and add another package or pass to your cart. Credits will automatically reduce what you owe. Any remaining balance will be settled through our payment system, with any leftover credits available future purchases. Credits do not expire.

Dismiss