Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul - Italian Open Rome Tennis Prediction and Pick 5/14/24

Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul

Tuesday, May 14, 2024

Daniil Medvedev -212 / Tommy Paul +170 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Defending champion Daniil Medvedev will meet American Tommy Paul for a second time this season when they clash in the fourth round of the 2024 Italian Open Rome. The match is scheduled for Tuesday, May 14, 2024. Here's our Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul prediction.

Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul Preview

Daniil Medvedev is yet to win a tournament this season. He has also not defended an ATP title in his career. But he remains on course to do both simultaneously this week at the Italian Open in Rome. He is the highest-ranked player in the draw, which tells you he will be fancying his chances of going all the way. He's had to weather the storm to secure his place in the fourth round. After toppling British left-handed Jack Draper in the second round, Medvedev needed to regain his composure and baseline discipline to see off the talented Serbian Hamad Medjedovic to reach the fourth round. He required three sets to beat the Next Gen star and admitted to losing his aggression and serving consistency during the match. Let's see if he will find his A-game because he's got a tough one against Tommy Paul next.

Paul has powered into the fourth round without losing a set. The American took care of Aslan Karatsev in her second-round match, losing just six games, and then beat Dominik Koepfer without losing more than four games in a set (6-4, 6-3). It's pertinent to note that Paul did not have a great start to the European clay swing after taking a month off because of an injury he picked up at the Miami Open in late March.

Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul Head-To-Head

• Medvedev leads Paul 3-0 in their head-to-head.

• On clay, Medvedev won their only meeting at the 2021 Roland Garros in four sets.

• Their last meeting was at the 2024 Indian Wells Masters, where Medvedev recovered from a set down to win 1-6, 7-6, 6-2.

Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul Prediction

Medvedev and Paul are not particularly known for their penchant for clay surfaces. But that doesn't mean they are not capable of playing to their potential here. In fact, contrary to that notion, Paul has played some great tennis in his opening two matches, not losing more than four games in a set. Medvedev, by contrast, has looked there for the taking, given how he struggled to find any consistency in his serve and groundstrokes against Medjedovic. This makes the Paul set handicap +1.5 at -151 the more enticing.

Nur’s Pick Tommy Paul set handicap +1.5

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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