Andrey Rublev vs Felix Auger-Aliassime - Madrid Open Final Tennis Prediction and Pick 5/5/24

Andrey Rublev (7) vs Felix Auger-Aliassime

Sunday, May 5, 2024

Andrey Rublev -250 / Felix Auger-Aliassime +200 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Seventh seed Andrey Rublev will play big-serving Canadian Felix Auger-Aliassime in the 2024 Madrid Open final. The match is scheduled to take place on Sunday, May 5, 2024. Here's our Andrey Rublev vs Felix Auger-Aliassime prediction.

Andrey Rublev vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Preview

If we needed yet more evidence that tennis can be such a quick turnaround sport, then we got our answer here at the Madrid Open with Andrey Rublev getting his season back on track. The hot-tempered Russian had endured a disjointed season coming to Madrid and seemingly out of control with his emotions. But having tallied five wins on the board, including the upset of the tournament by beating the two-time defending champion Carlos Alcaraz in the quarterfinal, the narrative of his year could very much change.

Felix Auger-Aliassime, meanwhile, is experiencing the kind of luck that can be attributed to those who win a lottery. The Canadian has benefitted from three retirements, including a walkover in the quarterfinal when top seed Jannik Sinner withdrew from the tournament due to a hip injury. And the 23-year-old could not believe the stroke of good fortune that hit him when the in-form Czech Jiri Lehecka retired after only six games in the first set of their semifinal. With that said, it feels like a bittersweet moment for Auger-Alissime, who enters Sunday's final having played eight completed sets in two weeks.

Andrey Rublev vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Head-To-Head

Rublev and Auger-Aliassime have met five times on the ATP Tour.

Rublev leads Auger-Aliassime 4-1 in their head-to-head.

Their first meeting was on clay at the 2018 Umag - Rublev won in three sets.

Their last clash was at this year's Rotterdam Open, with Rublev coming through 7-5 in the third.

Andrey Rublev vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Prediction

Rublev is looking to win his second Masters title. He's been in this territory multiple times in the past, so he should be favored to win this match. Auger-Aliassime is just the third Canadian (after Milos Raonic and Denis Shapovalov) to reach a Masters final, so this is uncharted waters for him. He had gone off the boil in the past year and fell outside the Top 30. But he is a great talent with an incredibly powerful game. Getting to the finals will enable him to climb inside the top 30 and well within the seeding positions for Roland Garros. The downside for Auger-Aliassime is that the number of walkovers/retirement wins this fortnight might end up leaving him undercooked for the final. So, it is wise to go with the more experienced and tested Rublev to lift the Madrid Open title.

Nur’s Pick Andrey Rublev in three sets

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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