Madison Keys vs Elise Mertens Wimbledon Tennis Picks and Predictions 7/2/21

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Elise Mertens and Madison Keys meet Friday in the third round of the 2021 tennis Wimbledon.

Elise Mertens is coming off a straight sets win over Lin Zhu that took 14 games to decide. In the victory, Mertens won 76 percent of her first serve points and 54 percent of her second serve points. Mertens won 68 percent of her total service points and converted on six of her 12 break points. Mertens had just 12 unforced errors in her victory and has lost a combined six games in her first four sets. Mertens looks to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the sixth time in her last eight trips. Mertens looks to make the fourth round of Wimbledon for the second time in her career. Mertens has split her last four matches on grass court.

Madison Keys is coming off a straight sets win over Lauren Davis that took 17 games to decide. In the victory, Keys won 76 percent of her first serve points and 53 percent of her second serve points. Keys won 67 percent of her total service points and converted on four of her seven break points. Keys got 63 percent of her first serves in play and saved two of her three break points. Keys looks to win three straight matches for the first time since Brisbane of last year. Keys looks to make the fourth round of a grand slam for the first time since the 2019 US Open. Keys hasn’t made the fourth round of Wimbledon since 2016. Keys has won four of her last five matches on grass court.

Keys has won both meetings against Mertens, both in straight sets. The matches took place in 2019 Australian Open and 2017 US Open.

This is going to be one of the better matches of the tournament so far and the odds indicate a coin flip. However, Keys will control the pace of most points in this match and she dominated Mertens in their previous two meetings. As long as Keys avoids unforced errors, she wins this match.

Give me Keys.

The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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