Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova vs. Garbine Muguruza - 1/28/20 Australian Open Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Photo by Jerry Lai-USA TODAY Sports
Garbine Muguruza vs. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova
Tuesday, January 28, 2020 at 7:00 pm (Australia)
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Garbine Muguruza and Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova meet in the quarterfinals of the 2020 tennis Australian Open.
Garbine Muguruza is coming off a straight sets win over Kiki Bertens that took 18 games to decide. In the victory, Muguruza won 90 percent of her first serve points and 27 percent of her second serve points. Muguruza won 74 percent of her total service points and converted on five of her 10 break points. Muguruza got 67 percent of her first serves in play and hit just 18 unforced errors. Muguruza has been a slow starter throughout her career and has little success at the Australian Open, but she seems comfortable and has won each of her last five sets. Muguruza hopes to make her fifth career grand slam semifinal appearance and the first in the Australian Open. Muguruza is 4-3 in career grand slam quarterfinal matches. Muguruza has won six of her last seven matches on hard court.
Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova is coming off a three sets win over Angelique Kerber that took 34 games to decide. In the victory, Pavlyuchenkova won 70 percent of her first serve points and 52 percent of her second serve points. Pavlyuchenkova won 66 percent of her total service points and converted on five of her 18 break points. Pavlyuchenkova got 75 percent of her first serves in play and hit 71 winners to 36 unforced errors. If Pavlyuchenkova is going to have those numbers moving forward, she’s capable of bringing home a grand slam title to Russia, as those percentages and win totals are unbelievable. Pavlyuchenkova hopes to make her first career grand slam semifinal appearance. Pavlyuchenkova is 0-5 in career grand slam quarterfinal matches. Pavlyuchenkova has won five of her last six matches on hard court.
These two have played five times and Muguruza has won four of those matches, including the most recent meeting in 2018 Birmingham. Three of Muguruza’s wins were decided in straight sets and she’s 3-0 against Pavlyuchenkova on hard court.
Muguruza is never the safest bet in women’s tennis based on her often hot and cold play, but she should win this match rather easily. Muguruza has had no trouble against Pavlyuchenkova in the past, especially on hard court, and she has the experience edge in grand slam play. Once you get to the business end of the tournament, players who have been there done that usually separate themselves.
I’ll take Muguruza in straight sets.