Novak Djokovic vs. Milos Raonic - 1/27/20 Australian Open Tennis Pick, Odds, and Prediction
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Milos Raonic vs. Novak Djokovic
Monday, January 27, 2020 at 7:00 pm (Australia)
The Line: -- Over/Under:
Milos Raonic and Novak Djokovic meet in the quarterfinal of the 2020 tennis Australian Open.
Milos Raonic is coming off a straight sets win over Marin Cilic that took 31 games to decide. In the victory, Raonic won 74 percent of his first serve points and 48 percent of his second serve points. Raonic won 74 percent of his total service points and converted on three of his eight break points. Raonic got 79 percent of his first serves in play, saved all four break points and racked up 28 aces. Raonic has yet to drop a set this tournament and has won four straight matches for the first time since Indian Wells. Raonic has quietly put himself in the conversation for somebody who can win this title if he keeps serving at this level. Raonic hopes to make his fourth career grand slam semifinal and the second at the Australian Open. Raonic is 3-6 in career grand slam quarterfinal matches. Raonic has won five straight matches on hard court.
Novak Djokovic is coming off a straight sets win over Diego Schwartzman that took 29 games to decide. In the victory, Djokovic won 74 percent of his first serve points and 68 percent of his second serve points. Djokovic won 72 percent of his total service points and converted on four of his eight break points. Djokovic got 67 percent of his first serves in play, saved two of his three break points and hit 38 winners to 31 unforced errors. Djokovic has won 10 straight sets and his return has been the most impressive during this winning stretch. Djokovic hopes to make the semifinals of a grand slam for the sixth time in his last seven tries. Djokovic is 7-3 in career quarterfinal matches at the Australian Open. Djokovic has won 11 straight matches on hard court.
These two have played nine times and Djokovic has won all nine matches, including the most recent in 2018 Cincinnati. Seven of the nine matches were decided in straight sets.
Raonic is more than capable of winning this match with the way he’s serving, and I actually wouldn’t talk you off the ledge if you were looking to take a shot with the plus money. However, the h2h isn’t kind to the Canadian and most of those matches weren’t all that competitive. Djokovic also has the best return on the mens side, so you have to believe he can crack the code and get some looks at break points.
I’ll take Djokovic to win this match in four sets.