Egypt (1-0-2) / Australia (1-1-1)
02:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Egypt +150 / Australia +230 — Over/Under: 2
Australia Preview
Australia finished the group phase of the World Cup with 4 points, with one win, one draw and one loss and were placed 2nd in Group D. They are coming off a 0-0 draw with Paraguay, where they had 56% possession of the ball and 12 total shots, 5 of them on target. They had 82% completed passes, and more expected goals, with 0.55 compared to Paraguay’s 0.24.
Australia is averaging 0.67 goals per game, while allowing 0.67 goals per game. They have a +0.0 goal differential, 0.81 average expected goals, 1.01 average expected goals conceded and -0.2 average expected goal differential. They have 38% possession of the ball and 85% save percentage, while having 2 clean sheets.
Connor Metcalfe, Nestory Irankunda are Australia’s top scorers with one goal each. Paul Okon-Engstler is Australia’s top passer, with one assist.
Egypt Preview
Egypt finished the group phase of the World Cup with 5 points, with one win and two draws and were placed 2nd in Group G. They are coming off a 1-1 draw with Iran, where they had 61% possession of the ball and 15 total shots, 3 of them on target. They had 87% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.84 compared to Iran’s 1.97.
Egypt is averaging 1.67 goals per game, while allowing one goal per game. They have a +0.7 goal differential, 1.16 average expected goals, 1.63 average expected goals conceded and -0.5 average expected goal differential. They have 56% possession of the ball and 75% save percentage, while having zero clean sheets.
Mohamed Salah, Emam Ashour, Mohammad Zico are Egypt’s top scorers with 1 goal each. Mohamed Salah is Egypt’s top passer, with 2 assists.
Egypt vs Australia Prediction
In their only previous meeting back in 2010 in a friendly game, Egypt won easily by 3-0 goals.
In this Egypt vs Australia Prediction, Egypt is coming as +150 favorites. Egypt has been undefeated in the group stages of the World Cup and have a much better offense than Australia, having scored 5 total goals compared to Australia’s two. I just cannot back a team that has failed to score in two of its three games played, like Australia and Egypt has also more average expected goals and the best player in the court in Mohamed Salah. I will take a stab with the Egypt straight up on the moneyline for an excellent +150 price.

