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Canada vs Morocco Prediction 7/4/2026 Round of 16 Picks

Jun 28, 2026; Inglewood, California, USA; Canada forward Jonathan David (10) and South Africa defender Olwethu Makhanya (24) battle for the ball during a Round of 32 match in the 2026 FIFA World Cup at Los Angeles Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

Jun 28, 2026; Inglewood, California, USA; Canada forward Jonathan David (10) and South Africa defender Olwethu Makhanya (24) battle for the ball during a Round of 32 match in the 2026 FIFA World Cup at Los Angeles Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

Canada (2-1-1) vs Morocco (2-2-0)

01:00 PM EDT

The Line: Betting Odds: Canada +360 Draw +240 Morocco -120 — Over/Under: 2.5

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In this article we will formulate a Canada vs Morocco prediction for this World Cup game on Saturday, July 4th at NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this World Cup matchup.

Canada Betting Preview

Canada comes into this match after they defeated South Africa by a score of 1-0 in the Round of 32. Canada was tied 0-0 at halftime, but they scored in the second minute of stoppage time to escape with the win. Canada recorded 12 total shots, seven shots on target, and had 42% of the possession in the game. Canada got their goal from Eustaquio, while Oluwaseyi had two shots on target and Crepeau made one save in net.

Canada finished second in Group B with four points, which was three points behind Switzerland, but they did have the best goal differential in the group. In group play, Canada drew Bosnia & Herzegovina 1-1, defeated Qatar 6-0, and lost to Switzerland 2-1. Canada has had goals from David (3), Larin (2), Saliba, P. David, and Eustaquio, while Saliba has two assists. David has led the team with eight shots on target, while Crepeau has made six saves through four games.

Morocco Betting Preview

Morocco comes into this match after they defeated Netherlands in penalty kicks in the Round of 32. Morocco trailed 1-0 in the second half, but they tied the game in stoppage time and ended up winning in penalty kicks by a total of 3-2. Morocco recorded 11 total shots, five shots on target, and had 70% of the possession in the game. Morocco got their goal from Diop, while Hakimi had three total shots and Bono made one save in the win.

Morocco finished second in Group C with seven points, which was tied with Brazil, but they lost the goal differential tie breaker. In group play, Morocco drew Brazil 1-1, defeated Scotland 1-0, and defeated Haiti 4-2. Morocco has had goals from Saibari (3), Rahimi, Hakimi, Yassine, and Diop, while Diaz has two assists. Hakimi has led the team with four shots on target, while Bounou has made nine saves in four games.

Canada vs Morocco Prediction

Morocco comes into this match with plenty of momentum after beating Netherlands in their last game, but they have conceded in three of their four games. Canada barely got by South Africa in their last game and I am worried about their goal scoring here. Morocco is a very good defensive team and Canada has managed one goal or fewer in three of their four games. I think Canada is going to really slow this pace down and focus on defending, so I like under 2.5 goals here.

David Racey's Pick: Under 2.5

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