Bosnia-Herzegovina (1-1-1) / USA (2-1-0)
08:00 PM EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Bosnia-Herzegovina +800 / USA -185 — Over/Under: 2.5
USA Preview
USA finished the group phase of the World Cup with 6 points, with two wins and one loss and were placed 1st in Group D. They are coming off a 3-2 win over Turkey, where they had 53% possession of the ball and 18 total shots, 7 of them on target. They had 85% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 2.12 compared to Turkey’s 3.
USA is averaging 2.67 goals per game, while allowing 1.33 goals per game. They have a +1.3 goal differential, 1.69 average expected goals, 1.72 average expected goals conceded and -0.0 average expected goal differential. They have 58% possession of the ball and 50% save percentage, while having one clean sheet.
Folarin Balogun is United States’ top scorer with 2 goals. Auston Freeman, Malik Tillman, Sebastian Berhalter are United States’ top passers, with one assist each.
Bosnia-Herzegovina Preview
Bosnia-Herzegovina finished the group phase of the World Cup with 4 points, with one win, one draw and one loss and were placed 3rd in Group B. They are coming off a 3-1 win over Qatar, where they had 54% possession of the ball and 14 total shots, 5 of them on target. They had 88% completed passes, and fewer expected goals, with 0.68 compared to Qatar’s 0.77.
Bosnia-Herzegovina is averaging 1.67 goals per game, while allowing 2 goals per game. They have a -0.3 goal differential, 0.64 average expected goals, 1.21 average expected goals conceded and -0.6 average expected goal differential. They have 46% possession of the ball and 50% save percentage, while having zero clean sheets.
Ermedin Mahmic is Bosnia-Herzegovina’s top scorer with 2 goals. Sead Kolašinac, Ivan Bašić, Dario Hadžikadunić are Bosnia-Herzegovina’s top passers, with one assist each.
Bosnia-Herzegovina vs USA Prediction
Team USA has two wins and one draw in its three meetings against Bosnia, all of them in friendly games.
In this Bosnia-Herzegovina vs USA Prediction, USA is coming as -185 favorites. USA has been looking excellent in the World Cup, with its only loss coming in matchday 3, when they have already been qualified to the next round. They have a very efficient offense, scoring 2.67 goals per game and are facing a struggling Bosnia defense, that allows 2 goals per game. On top of that, Bosnia has just 0.64 average expected goals per game, that is almost one goal less than their 1.67 that actually score per game, while USA has 1.69 average total goals. USA will be playing in front of their home crowd and I expect them to get the job done. Take USA on the moneyline.