Aston Villa vs Southampton 4/12/25 Prediction English Premier League Picks

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Southampton

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Aston Villa

Recent betting trends in games played between the Aston Villa and Southampton

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Aston Villa vs Southampton game

Southampton Preview

Southampton has only 10 points this season and is sitting on the last place of the Premier League standings, and have already been mathematically relegated. Southampton has a 2-25-4 record this season and have a terrible 1-12-2 home record. Southampton is coming off a 1-3 home defeat against Tottenham, and have now lost seven of their last eight matches. Over is 14-2 in their last 16 overall games, and 3-1 in their last 4 home games. Both teams to score – Yes has hit in their last four games.

Southampton is averaging just 0.74 goals per game, which is the worst in the league, while allowing 2.39 goals per game, which is also ranks last. Paul Onuachu is the top scorer for Southampton this season with 4 total goals. Mateus Fernandes is Southampton’s best passer, with 3 total assists.

Aston Villa Preview

Aston Villa has 51 points this season and is currently sitting on the 7th place of the Premier League standings. Aston Villa has a 14-8-9 record this season but they have been below average on the road with a 6-7-2 record. Aston Villa is coming off a 1-3 road defeat by PSG for the Champions League on Wednesday, ending their previous 8-game winning streak across all competitions. Over is 7-1 in their last 8 overall games, and 6-1 in their last 7 road games.

Aston Villa is averaging 1.48 goals per games, which is 12th in the league, while allowing 1.48 goals per game, which is 13th in the league. Ollie Watkins is the top scorer for Aston Villa this season with 13 total goals, while Morgan Rogers follow with 8 goals. Ollie Watkins and Morgan Rogers are also tied for the team’s top passer, with 6 assists made each.

Why Aston Villa will win

• Aston Villa has won each of its last four EPL matches against Southampton.
• Aston Villa has won five of its last six EPL matches against Southampton.
• Aston Villa has won four of its last five EPL matches.
• Southampton has lost 10 of its last 11 EPL matches as a home underdog.
• Southampton has lost 12 of its last 14 EPL matches.
• Southampton has lost nine of its last 10 EPL home matches.

Total Points Facts

• The 'Both Teams to Score' market has failed to hit in each of the last six EPL matches between Southampton and Aston Villa.
• The 'Both Teams to Score' market has failed to hit in each of the last four EPL matches between Southampton and Aston Villa at St. Mary's.
• The 'Both Teams to Score' market has hit in each of Southampton's last four EPL matches.
• The 'Over 2.5 Goals' market has hit in 12 of Southampton's last 13 EPL matches.
• The 'Under 2.5 Goals' market has hit in each of Aston Villa's last five EPL matches at St. Mary's.

Aston Villa vs Southampton Prediction

In their previous meeting earlier this season, Aston Villa won 1-0 at home. Aston Villa has won their last four meetings against Southampton, but their last three wins have been exactly with a 1-0 score. Southampton is 4-2-1 in their last 7 home meetings against Aston Villa. Under is 5-1 in their last 6 overall meetings, and a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 meetings in Southampton.

In this Aston Villa vs Southampton Prediction, Aston Villa is coming as big -180 road favorites. Aston Villa is rightfully favored, as they have been the better team this season, facing the far worst team of the league, that has already been mathematically relegated. Villa needs every win they can get, as they are currently sitting on the last place that leads to next season’s European Championships, and have Fulham on their heels, with just 3 points behind them. Even though they played Wednesday for the Champions League, I will lay the juice and take Aston Villa straight up on the moneyline in this one.