Chelsea vs Brentford 4/6/25 Prediction English Premier League Picks

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Brentford

Recent betting trends and streaks involving Chelsea

Recent betting trends in games played between the Chelsea and Brentford

A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for Chelsea vs Brentford game

Brentford Preview

Brentford have 41 points this season and are sitting on the 11th place of the Premier League standings. Brentford has a 12-13-5 record this season and have a 5-7-2 road record. Brentford is coming off a 1-2 home defeat by Newcastle and have been struggling at home lately, with six losses and two draws in their last 6 home games across all competitions.  Under has hit in their last four home games.

Brentford is averaging 1.70 goals per game, which is the 6th-best in the league, while allowing 1.57 goals per game, which is 15th in the league. Bryan Mbeumo is the top scorer for Brentford this season with 16 total goals, while Yoane Wissa follows with 13 goals. Mikkel Damsgaard is the team’s top passer, with 9 assists made.

Chelsea Preview

Chelsea has 52 points this season and are sitting on the 4th place of the Premier League standings. Chelsea has a 15-8-7 record this season and have 6-6-3 road record. Chelsea is coming off a 1-0 home victory over Tottenham, and are now 5-1 in their last 6 games. Under has hit in all four of their last games, and Both teams to score - No is 5-1 in their last 6 games.

Chelsea is averaging 1.80 goals per game, which is the 5th-best in the league, while allowing 1.23 goals per game, which is tied for 5th. Cole Palmer is the top scorer for Chelsea this season with 14 total goals, while Nicolas Jackson follows with 9 goals. Cole Palmer is also the team’s top passer, with 7 assists made.

Why Brentford will win

• The home team has won each of Chelsea's last nine EPL matches.
• The home team has won 10 of Chelsea's last 12 EPL matches.
• Brentford has won four of its last five EPL matches as an underdog following a league loss.
• Brentford has won each of its last three EPL matches as an underdog following a league loss.
• Brentford has won seven of its last nine EPL matches following a league loss.
• Brentford has won three of its last four EPL matches as an underdog.
• Chelsea has lost each of its last four EPL away matches.
• Chelsea has lost five of its last six EPL away matches.
• Chelsea has lost three of its last four EPL matches following a league win.

Why Chelsea will win

• The away team has won seven of Brentford's last nine EPL matches.

Total Points Facts

• The 'Both Teams to Score' market has hit in 10 of Brentford's last 11 EPL matches as a home underdog.
• The 'Both Teams to Score' market has failed to hit in each of Chelsea's last four EPL matches.
• The 'Under 2.5 Goals' market has hit in each of Brentford's last four EPL home matches.
• The 'Under 2.5 Goals' market has hit in each of Brentford's last four EPL matches at Gtech Community Stadium.

Chelsea vs Brentford Prediction

In their previous meeting earlier this season, Chelsea won 2-1 at home. Both teams are perfectly balanced in their last 5 meetings, with a 2-2-1 record. Brentford has lost only once to Chelsea in their last six meetings, with a 3-1-2 record. Their last two meetings in Gtech Community Stadium ended up in a draw, and both teams to score – no is 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Gtech Community Stadium.

In this Chelsea vs Brentford Prediction, Chelsea is coming as +115 road favorites. Chelsea is rightfully favored because they have more points this season, and have been in very good form lately, while Brentford has been struggling at home throughout the season. But Brentford has been dominating Chelsea in their home court, so I will pass on the side due to many contradictive trends. Both teams have been playing some lower-scoring games lately, as Brentford is 4-0 to the under in their last 4 home games and Chelsea 4-0 to the under generally. With the total set at 3 goals, which gives us push protection, I will gladly take the under 3.