Chelsea vs Manchester City Prediction - Soccer Picks 11/12/23

Chelsea (4-3-4) vs Manchester City (9-0-2)

Sunday, November 12, 2023 at 11:30 am (Stamford Bridge)

Chelsea +450/Manchester City -130 - Over/Under: 2.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Round 12 of the English Premier League will conclude on Sunday, November 12, 2023, with this derby duel between Chelsea and Manchester City at Stamford Bridge. Manchester City (1st with 27 points) are hoping to get the sixth consecutive win in all competitions, while Chelsea (10th with 15 points) are on the wings of a big victory over Tottenham Hotspur last weekend. You’re welcome to read our Chelsea vs Manchester City betting preview and prediction.

Chelsea (Form and News)

Having ended Tottenham’s unbeaten start to the Premier League (PL) season with a 4-1 win on Monday, it’s a swift one-two for Chelsea who face the other side to start the round in the top-two, Manchester City. Officiating controversy shrouded Chelsea’s win against Spurs, with two red cards helping them overturn a 1-0 deficit, which is something they’ve had to do in their last two PL victories.

They likely won’t be afforded the same chances for redemption here, and considering the last four PL meetings have all ended 1-0 in City’s favor, scoring the first goal here could be key. That’s perhaps where Chelsea run into an issue, as they haven’t netted in any of their last six H2Hs since their UEFA Champions League (UCL) win in May 2021 and have worryingly blanked in three of their last four home league games this season (D1, L3).

Hot stat: Chelsea have conceded six of their seven Premier League home goals this season after the break.

Player to watch: Having made the summer switch from City to Chelsea, Cole Palmer has netted all three of his goals since his move from the penalty spot.

Mauricio Pochettino will be without Trevoh Chalobah (thigh), Ben Chilwell (thigh), Carney Chukwuemeka (knee), and Wesley Fofana (knee). Romeo Lavia (ankle) and Christopher Nkunku (knee) are questionable.

Manchester City (Form and News)

City’s defense of their UCL crown continues to gather momentum after they beat Young Boys 3-0 in midweek to secure their spot in the knockout stages. Turning attention back to domestic matters, City actually have Chelsea to thank for the fact they come into this round top of the Premier League. The Blues’ victory against Spurs ensured Pep Guardiola's men look down on the rest of the table after their 6-1 demolition of Bournemouth last weekend.

After a late September/early October wobble that saw them lose three of four games (W1), City look to have hit their stride again, winning five in a row since their last defeat. It’s hard to find deficiencies in this City juggernaut, but one does perhaps come in Guardiola’s struggles to win away at Pochettino-managed sides. Namely, the City boss came out on top in just three of the last six such outings (L3), suggesting this clash is more finely poised than the table suggests.

Player to watch: Mateo Kovačič collected a yellow card in his last two Premier League away starts.

Guardiola cannot count on Kevin De Bruyne (thigh), John Stones (muscle), and Sergio Gomez (injury).

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Chelsea vs Manchester City H2H Record

In the previous ten H2H encounters, Manchester City won seven, while Chelsea were victorious in three matches. The Citizens are on a six-game winning streak against Chelsea, while at Stamford Bridge, City won three of the last four meetings (L1).

Chelsea vs Manchester City Odds

Chelsea are +450 underdogs in this duel; a draw is at +290, while you can bet on Manchester City to get three points at -130. For those who love betting on goals, Over 2.5 is at -103, and Under 2.5 is at +102. When it comes to both teams to score, BTTS YES is at -115, while BTTS NO is at +108. Check out more Premier League betting odds here!

Chelsea vs Manchester City Pick

Manchester City have a stronger squad, and undoubtedly, the quality is on their side. However, Chelsea’s spirits went sky high following a massive victory at Tottenham, and this young side could be a tricky opponent to Guardiola’s men on Sunday.

Interestingly, none of the previous 16 H2H encounters in the Premier League ended without a winner. The last time these teams drew was in January 2015! Chelsea are still unreliable, especially in big matches, but I rely on them to get a positive result in this one. Now, I don’t expect a win for the Blues, although I wouldn’t be surprised, but I am backing them to fight for a point. Of course, Manchester City will hold the keys to the game.

 

Oliver’s Pick Draw (+290)

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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