Toulouse vs Liverpool Prediction - Soccer Picks 11/9/23

Toulouse (2-0-1) vs Liverpool (3-0-0)

Thursday, November 9, 2023 at 12:45 pm (Stadium Municipal)

Toulouse +660/Liverpool -222 - Over/Under: 2.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Toulouse will welcome Liverpool in Round 4 of the UEFA Europa League on Thursday, November 9, 2023, at Stadium Municipal. Liverpool (9 pts), who practically need a point here to book their knockout phase ticket, will come to France as massive favorites. Toulouse (4 pts) need a positive result as they are battling Royale Union SG for the second place in Group E, but it won’t be easy against European giants. This is our Toulouse vs Liverpool betting preview and prediction.

Toulouse (Form and News)

Toulouse were rewarded with a place in this season’s UEFA Europa League (UEL) due to winning the Coupe de France in what was their first season back in the French top-flight since 2019/20. That ended the Violets' 14-year wait for European football, but the influx of added fixtures seems to be taking a toll as they’ve won only three of their 14 games this season (D6, L5).

Even so, Carles Martínez Novell’s men will want to keep this journey on the continent alive, but to do so they will likely need a win here as they look set to battle for second place in Group E with Belgium’s Union SG who are also locked on four points. The pair shared the spoils in Round 1 in a 1-1 draw, but as Toulouse then went on to beat bottom-placed LASK, a hefty 5-1 defeat against upcoming opponents Liverpool in the last round is sure to have bruised their ego.

Player to watch: Thijs Dallinga was the man to get Toulouse on the scoresheet at Anfield, which is part of a run of netting each of his side’s last three goals.

Novell will be without Zakaria Aboukhlal (knee), Denis Genreau (injury), and Oliver Zanden (surgery).

Liverpool (Form and News)

The English side have imposed themselves on Group E, boasting a perfect record of three wins from their three matches. The European juggernauts can now qualify for the knockout stages if they emerge from the Stadium Municipal victorious, which will extend their record of having reached a knockout phase in each of their last eight European campaigns.

The Reds won’t be preparing Anfield for the UEL knockout rounds just yet since their away form in Europe has been patchy in recent times (W5, D2, L8). Liverpool also showed a chink in their traveling armor when a four-game winning streak came to an end at the weekend, following a disappointing 1-1 draw with Premier League newcomers Luton.

Hot stat: Liverpool have only won five of their 22 away matches in the UEL proper (D10, L7).

Player to watch: Liverpool didn’t start Dominik Szoboszlai in the reverse fixture at Anfield, but they might now since his last 14 goalscoring appearances at club level have all ended in victory.

Jurgen Klopp cannot count on Stefan Bajcetic (calf), Andrew Robertson (shoulder), and Thiago (hip). Curtis Jones (illness) is questionable to feature on Thursday.

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Toulouse vs Liverpool H2H Record

Toulouse and Liverpool have faced on three occasions so far. Liverpool won all three matches, including the previous one; 5-1 at home. Diogo Jota, Wataru Endo, Darwin Nunez, Ryan Gravenberch, and Mohamed Salah scored for the Reds, while Thijs Dallinga was on the scoresheet for Les Violets.

Toulouse vs Liverpool Odds

Toulouse are big underdogs in this encounter at +660. A draw is at +450, while you can back Liverpool to win at -222. Bettors who love to bet on goals have an opportunity to go with Over 2.5 at -200 or Under 2.5 at +182. One of the most popular betting markets, both teams to score, offers BTTS YES at -143 and BTTS NO at +138. Check out more soccer odds here!

Toulouse vs Liverpool Pick

Liverpool could approach this game a bit relaxed after winning all three previous matches, and complacency could be on the cards, but I am still sure they will score a couple of goals without problems. Klopp has probably the best team in the Europa League this year, and whoever he decides to pick in the starting XI, especially in the attack, Liverpool will deliver.

The Reds scored 2+ goals in seven of the last eight matches and in each of three UEL games. Toulouse felt Liverpool’s attacking power on their own skin, so the hosts know what is coming on Thursday. On the other hand, Toulouse scored in each of their six home matches, while four of those six produced goals on both sides. I am not going to back Liverpool here; the odds are low and they don’t have an imperative to win. I’ll go with goals.