Arsenal vs Sevilla - Soccer Picks 11/8/23

Arsenal (2-0-1) vs Sevilla (0-2-1)

Wednesday, November 8, 2023 at 3 pm (Emirates Stadium)

Arsenal -286/Sevilla +950 - Over/Under: 2.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The UEFA Champions League returns on Wednesday, November 8, 2023, when Arsenal host Sevilla in a Round 4 clash at Emirates Stadium. The Gunners (6 pts) look to stay atop of Group B with a win here, while Sevilla (2 pts) are four points behind and are hoping to avoid a defeat and stay alive in the hunt for the knockout stage. Take a look at our Arsenal vs Sevilla betting preview and prediction.

Arsenal (Form and News)

The form of Arsenal and Sevilla has traveled in different directions since they met in Round 3 of the 2023-24 UEFA Champions League (UCL) two weeks ago. Arsenal won that encounter in Spain 2-1 before a rotated squad followed it up with a dominant 5-0 Premier League success against Sheffield United. But two defeats since have put Mikel Arteta’s men in their first sticky spell of this campaign.

In the most recent of those losses against Newcastle United, Arteta labeled the decision by VAR officials to award the opposition a goal as “embarrassing”. It ultimately proved decisive as the Gunners would go on and fail to score in a competitive game for the first time this season, ending a run of 16 matches. They’ll be desperate to get back on track here and tighten their grip on top spot in Group B, but just two wins in their last six home European games against Spanish opposition (D3, L1) highlights how this task won’t necessarily be straightforward despite the recent H2H win.

Player to watch: Gabriel Jesus scored in all three of Arsenal's UCL games so far, but will miss this one through injury. Eddie Nketiah has been getting the nod in his absence and has repaid the faith by becoming the Gunners’ top league scorer of the season (G5).

Alongside Gabriel Jesus (muscle), Arteta will be without Thomas Partey (muscle), Emile Smith Rowe (knee), and Jurrien Timber (knee). Martin Odegaard is questionable with a hip injury.

Sevilla (Form and News)

Sevilla are unbeaten in their three matches since the reverse H2H (W1, D2). The most recent two matches in that period saw them concede just one goal, which is something that new boss Diego Alonso, appointed just last month, will be keen to celebrate. His team has struggled defensively all season, managing just three competitive clean sheets while falling 2-0 behind in three of the four matches prior to that two-game run.

Alonso will hope Sevilla’s recent improvement in form can play a role in securing a crucial positive result here, especially as they come into the game already three points behind second-placed Lens. But a record of just one UCL win on English soil from seven attempts (D2, L4), which includes a 3-0 defeat away to the Gunners back in 2007, indicates they have historically struggled on these shores.

Hot streak: Despite being the current Europa League holders, Sevilla are winless in 14 European away games (D8, L6).

Player to watch: Youssef En-Nesyri is Sevilla’s top domestic league goalscorer (G4), whilst he also netted in their last Champions League away game against PSV.

Alonso cannot count on Orjan Nyland (groin), while Sergio Ramos (muscle), Marcos Acuna (injury), and Marcao (injury) are questionable.

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Arsenal vs Sevilla H2H Record

These rivals have met in three competitive matches thus far. Arsenal won two, while Sevilla had one victory. Gabriel Martinelli and Gabriel Jesus scored for the Gunners in the previous H2H, while Nemanja Gudelj bagged a consolation goal for Los Rojiblancos.

Arsenal vs Sevilla Odds

The bookmakers offer pretty low odds on Arsenal to win at -286. A draw can be found at +500, while you can back Sevilla to get three points at +950. When it comes to goals, Over 2.5 is at -164, and Under 2.5 is at +154. One of the most popular betting markets, both teams to score, offers to choose between BTTS YES at -104 and BTTS NO at -108. Check out more Champions League odds here!

Arsenal vs Sevilla Pick

Arsenal suffered two consecutive defeats for the first time this season and will be desperate to return to winning ways. Sevilla are under more pressure to perform after failing to record a win in the opening three rounds. However, Los Rojiblancos are not playing well away from home this season; they have just one win in seven matches, and it was against minnows Quintanar de la Orden in Copa del Rey.

Nevertheless, Sevilla scored at least a goal in each of the previous seven matches in all competitions. On the other hand, Arsenal managed to keep their net intact in just two of the last eight games. Both teams scored in six of Sevilla’s last seven matches, so I am going with BTTS again in this one.