Marseille vs Lille Prediction - Soccer Picks 11/4/23

Marseille (3-3-3) vs Lille (5-3-2)

Saturday, November 4, 2023 at 3 pm (Stade Vélodrome)

Marseille +134/Lille +225 - Over/Under: 2.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Round 11 of the French Ligue 1 is giving us a derby match between Marseille and Lille on Saturday, November 4, 2023, at Stade Vélodrome. Les Dogues are hoping to extend their unbeaten streak to seven games in all competitions. Marseille, on the other hand, recorded just two wins in eight matches, but are unbeaten at home. Les Phoceens have a game in hand and are 9th in the standings with 12 points, six behind the fourth-placed Lille. Check out our Marseille vs Lille betting preview and prediction.

Marseille (Form and News) 

Marseille will take to the field for the first time in ten days on Saturday night, as they welcome Lille to the Orange Vélodrome in Ligue 1. A ‘Welcome’ is far from what Marseille supporters greeted Lyon with last week, as an attack on the team bus left their manager Fabio Grosso injured and the game postponed. OM look set to escape sporting sanctions for that, much to the relief of boss Gennaro Gattuso after their mediocre start to the campaign.

While they possess a game in hand, Marseille already sit a whopping ten points adrift of the leaders ahead of this round. That's largely thanks to a run of just one win from their last six league matches (D2, L3). Such a streak has left the Olympians desperate for the comforts of home given that they’re unbeaten in all seven matches they’ve hosted this term (W5, D2). Fast starts appear to be crucial; of the 12 goals they’ve netted in home league matches, eight have arrived before the 30th minute!

Player to watch: Winger Ismaïla Sarr was on target in his side’s most recent league victory. He enjoyed facing Lille in the past, winning five of his six personal H2Hs in Ligue 1.

Gattuso will be without Pape Gueye (suspension), Azzedine Ounahi (injury), and Pedro Ruiz (injury).

Lille (Form and News)

Lille look well placed to cope with that as they’re a team on the up, unbeaten in six matches in all competitions (W4, D2). Last weekend’s 2-0 victory over then-league-leaders Monaco lifted the Mastiffs into the top four and to within four points of the summit, leaving fans dreaming of a first return to the UEFA Champions League since 2021/22.

Sustaining such form now depends on an improvement on the road, as Paulo Fonseca’s men have seen five of their seven away matches in all competitions this season end level (W1, L1). The draw specialists have endured stalemate in six of their last ten road trips in Ligue 1, winning just one (L3), a sequence that hardly inspires hope they can end a four-match winless run in away H2Hs (D2, L2).

Player to watch: Edon Zhegrova is in great form at the moment; the Kosovan international directly contributed to five goals in his last six games (G1, A4).

Tiago Djalo is the only sidelined player for Lille. He will miss Saturday’s tilt due to a knee injury.

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Marseille vs Lille H2H Record

Lille won five of the previous ten H2H encounters (D2, L3). At Vélodrome, though, Lille recorded just one victory in the last 12 visits (D4, L7).

Marseille vs Lille Odds

Marseille are +134 favorites to secure three points on Saturday. A draw is at +260, while Lille can be backed at +225. For the goals, Over 2.5 is at -106, and Under 2.5 is at +104. For those who like to bet on both teams to score: BTTS YES is at -141 and BTTS NO is at +130. Make sure to click here for more Ligue 1 odds!

Marseille vs Lille Betting Pick

Marseille had more time to prepare for this clash as they didn’t play against Lyon last weekend for well-known reasons. Still, Lille are in better form right now and I wouldn’t bet against Les Dogues here, despite their recent H2H record at Vélodrome. This one could go either way, so I am sticking to the goals.

Although these rivals haven’t produced plenty of goals in the last few years in H2H matches, it’s important to note that both sides have scored in eight of the previous nine league H2Hs hosted by Marseille. A 1-1 or 2-1 are the most frequent results in this fixture, which is why I’ll back BTTS and will not worry about the third goal.

 

Oliver’s Pick BTTS YES (-141)

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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