Aston Villa vs Luton Prediction - Soccer Picks 10/29/23

Aston Villa (6-1-2) vs Luton (1-2-6)

Sunday, October 29, 2023 at 9 am (Villa Park)

Aston Villa -345/Luton +1200 - Over/Under: 2.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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One of the hottest teams in the English top flight, Aston Villa, will welcome massive underdogs Luton Town in Round 10 of the Premier League. The match will kick off on Sunday, October 29, 2003, at Villa Park, and anything but a comfortable win for the hosts would be shocking. Currently, Villa sit in 5th position with 19 points, 14 more than Luton (17th). Here is our Aston Villa vs Luton betting preview and prediction.

Aston Villa (Form and News)

An easy 4-1 victory over AZ Alkmaar in midweek extended Aston Villa’s unbeaten run to five matches (W4, D1) and saw them climb atop their European group. You can check out what I predicted for that UEFA Europa Conference League duel. The Thursday night jaunt to the Netherlands could take its toll from a physical standpoint for this contest, but it’s worth noting they have followed both of their continental away games this season with Premier League (PL) victories.

That trend looks set to continue if Villa’s home league form is anything to go by as they’ve managed to score at least three goals against each of their four visitors this season. The Villans are now just one of a handful of Premier League sides that can still boast a perfect home-winning record this season, and that is part of the club’s longest-winning home league run since 1983 (W11).

Hot stat: Aston Villa (W5) have yet to drop a point when scoring first this season.

Player to watch: Ollie Watkins is in the form of his life, scoring in three consecutive appearances for club & country. Four of his last five club-scoring appearances also featured over 4.5 match goals.

Unai Emery cannot count on Emiliano Buendia (knee), Kortney Hause (knee), Tyrone Mings (knee), Alex Moreno (injury), and Jacob Ramsey (injury).

Luton (Form and News)

Luton Town have won just once in league action all season (W1, D2, L6) and entered this round just a point above the dreaded dotted line. Granted, the Hatters showed brilliant character to snatch a point from a 2-0 deficit in the final ten minutes in their latest Premier League game at Nottingham Forest, but boss Rob Edwards claimed he knows his side “can do better.”

That statement is particularly pertinent when considering Luton are the only PL side yet to keep a clean sheet in all competitions this season. Failing to do so in their first nine games of their maiden PL season makes them the first side to post such a dreary stat since Bolton’s run of ten in 1995/96. They have at least scored twice in their last two PL away games (W1, D1), so the Hatters will believe they have a puncher’s chance of claiming a result.

Player to watch: Trying to stop Ollie Watkins will be Luton defender Tom Lockyer, a man not afraid to get himself forward as shown by his pair of goal contributions across his last two away appearances (G1, A1).

Rob Edwards will be without Mads Juel Andersen (thigh), Reece Burke (injury), Albert Sambi Lokonga (thigh), and Dan Potts (ankle). Amari'i Bell (thigh) and Jordan Clark (ankle) are questionable to feature on Sunday.

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Aston Villa vs Luton H2H Record

It will be the first time these teams meet in the top tier since 1992. The previous H2H encounter was played in the League Cup in 2016 when Luton secured a 3-1 victory at home.

Aston Villa vs Luton Odds

Aston Villa are massive favorites to get a win at -345, but backing the hosts here is out of the question due to low odds. A draw can be backed at +580, while Luton to win is at +1200. Over 2.5 goals at -192 is also something to avoid here, and Under 25 is at +192. Both teams to score is currently BTTS YES at -108 and BTTS NO at -104. Take a look at more Premier League odds.

Aston Villa vs Luton Betting Pick

Aston Villa have the second-best attack in the league scoring 23 goals, only Newcastle scored more (24). Luton already conceded 11 goals in five road matches in PL, which is the worst road defense in the league. With Ollie Watkins in top form and the fact that Villa scored 4+ goals in three of their last five matches, I back the hosts to secure a comfortable victory.

Aston Villa are the best home team thus far with all four wins and a league-high 17 goals. I don’t think the Hatters stand a chance on Sunday. The Villans covered a -1.5 handicap in all four home matches, and I am backing them to do it again.