Valencia vs. Real Madrid 1/8/20 Spanish Super Cup Soccer Semifinals Pick, Odds, and Prediction
1/8/20 2 pm
Over 2.5 (-150), Under 2.5 (+120)
Valencia and Real Madrid are playing the first match of the Spanish Super Cup semifinals at King Abdullah Sports City in Saudi Arabia.
Valencia has been solid so far in the season and is currently in 6th place in LaLiga standings with 31 points. Valencia is undefeated in their last 7 games which will certainly give them confidence going into this game. In their last game in LaLiga this past weekend against Eibar at home, Valencia had 51% of ball possession, 1 shot on goal, 6 corner kicks, and 79% of the correct passes. Valencia has scored a goal from that one shot on goal and has won this match 1-0. With 29 scored goals in 19 games, Valencia is one of the best-attacking teams in LaLiga, but 25 conceded goals are just too much for a team that wants to be in the top 4 in LaLiga. Maxi Gomez is Valencia’s top goalscorer with 7 goals so far, followed by Valencia’s captain Dani Parejo with 6 goals. Piccini, Guedes, Lee, and Vallejo are all injured and will not be playing in this match. This Super Cup competition is a perfect opportunity for Valencia to win a trophy and I believe they will go all-in in this game, and they should. Spanish Super Cup used to be played by the LaLiga champion and Copa del Rey winner, but from this season the format has changed and now we have 4 teams playing semifinals matches and then the final game. I think that Valencia has a good chance of winning this competition because neither Barcelona, Atletico Madrid, or Real Madrid are playing at the top level at the moment and they can all be beaten by this good Valencia team.
Real Madrid has finally won a game after 3 draws in a row and that was against Getafe this past weekend. In that match, Real had 56% of ball possession, 8 shots on goal, 4 corner kicks, and 73% of accurate passes. It was a solid display of soccer from Real Madrid and they won 0-3. Real Madrid hasn’t lost a game since October of last year, but despite this 14-game streak without a defeat, Real is still not playing as good as I know they can. Eden Hazard and Marco Asensio are still injured and will not be in the lineup. Hazard was Real’s biggest purchase last summer, but he can’t properly heal, and when he is healthy, Hazard isn’t playing on his usual level. I’m certain that will change as soon as Hazard gets more minutes and scores a few goals to get his confidence up. Karim Benzema is having a brilliant season in LaLiga and has scored 12 goals so far and added 5 assists. In LaLiga standings, Real is in second place with 40 points, the same amount as Barcelona at the top and it looks like this will finally be a tight race for LaLiga title. Real Madrid and coach Zidane are coming into this matchup with a full roster and all the biggest stars are expected to play. It has been a while since Real Madrid has won and of the Spanish competitions and this one would certainly be the one trophy Real Madrid would like to add to their collection.
Valencia has had some success against Real in the past, and when these two teams meet, there are usually a lot of goals scored. Both Valencia and Real Madrid are playing in good form right now, and again I expect goals. Since this competition is played in Saudi Arabia because the clubs have become greedy, there is no home-field advantage. I think that Real is due for a loss and for that reason I will side with Valencia.