Genoa vs. Inter Milan 7/25/20 Serie A Soccer Prediction and Picks
Inter Milan (21-10-4) at Genoa (9-9-17)
Serie A Soccer: Saturday July 25, 2020 at 1:30 PM (Stadio Luigi Ferraris)
The Line: Genoa +400 / Draw +320 / Inter Milan -160 -- O/U: 3 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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Genoa plays host to Inter Milan in Serie A soccer action from the Stadio Luigi Ferraris on Saturday afternoon.
Genoa comes into this match in 17th place with a record of 9 wins, 9 draws and 17 losses following a 2-1 win over Sampdoria in their last match. In the win over Sampdoria, Domenico Criscito gave Genoa the lead from the penalty spot in the 22nd minute but Sampdoria would be quick to tie the game at one in the 32nd minute. Genoa would restore the lead late in first-half stoppage time, but VAR would step in and overturn the decision after a player was found in an offside position for Genoa in the buildup to the goal. Lukas Lerager would give Genoa the lead in the 72nd and Genoa wouldn’t relinquish the lead the rest of the way, holding on for a big three points in the fight for survival. Goran Pandev leads Genoa in scoring with 9 goals while Criscito is right behind with 8 goals and Paolo Ghiglione has a team-high 5 assists this season. Mattia Perin is Genoa’s top goalkeeper, conceding 1.61 goals per 90 minutes with 4 clean sheets in 18 league appearances this season.
Inter Milan on the other hand, sit in 3rd place on 73 points with a record of 21 wins, 10 draws and 4 losses following a scoreless draw with Fiorentina in their last match. In the draw with Fiorentina, the first half only saw a single booking that went Fiorentina’s way, with Inter owning 60% possession with all four of their shot attempts hitting the target, but none found the back of the net. Inter kept the pressure on in the second half, logging another 60% possession and 5 shots on goal, but in the end, neither side would find the breakthrough goal, and the points were shared at full time. Romelu Lukaku leads Inter in scoring with 21 goals while Lautaro Martinez has 13 goals and Alexis Sanchez has a team-high 8 assists this season. Samir Handanovic is Inter Milan’s top goalkeeper, conceding 0.97 goals per 90 minutes with 10 clean sheets in 32 league appearances this season.
This is a beatdown on paper as Inter Milan is the better team in the much better position in the table. However, Inter already has top-4 locked up with Champions League for next year, and while they’re grabbing points, Inter’s still had some disappointing performances as of late, and Genoa need to keep picking up points to keep distance from the relegation zone. Genoa’s also won 5 of the last 6 head-to-head against Inter at home, so I’ll take a shot with Genoa and the draw on a double chance at plus money.