Spal vs. AS Roma 7/22/20 Serie A Soccer Prediction and Picks
AS Roma (17-7-10) at Spal (5-4-25)
Serie A Soccer: Wednesday July 22, 2020 at 3:45 PM (Stadio Paolo Mazza)
The Line: Spal +800 / Draw +450 / AS Roma -- O/U: 3 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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Spal plays host to Roma in Serie A soccer action from the Stadio Paolo Mazza on Wednesday afternoon.
Spal come into this one in 20th place, having been relegated with four games to go on 19 points with a record of 5 wins, 4 draws and 25 losses following a 2-1 loss to Brescia last time out. In the loss to Brescia, Bryan Dabo gave Spal the lead in the 42nd minute but Brescia would come creeping up with the equalizer in the 69th minute and nearly had a go-ahead goal just three minutes later but VAR would overturn the decision after an offside player was found in the buildup of the goal for Brescia. Spal looked to be on the way to a score draw but Brescia would snatch up the points with a goal in the third minute of stoppage time to lock up the win and the points that go along with it. Andrea Petagna leads Spal in scoring with 12 goals while Bryan Dabo has a team-high 3 assists.
Roma on the other hand, comes into this game in 5th place on 58 points with a record of 17 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses following a 2-2 tie with Inter last time out. In the draw with Inter, Roma fell behind in the 15th minute but Leonardo Spinazzola tied the game at one in the first minute of stoppage time in the first half. Henrikh Mkhitaryan gave Roma the lead in the 57th, and Roma would nearly ride that lead to the finish line but Inter would pull even at 2-2 in the 88th minute from the penalty spot. In the end, both sides would have to settle for one point each as the spoils were shared. Edin Dzeko leads Roma in scoring with 15 goals as well as a team-high 7 assists while Mkhitaryan has 9 goals with 4 assists this season. Pau Lopez is Roma’s #1 goalkeeper, conceding 1.34 goals per 90 minutes with 5 clean sheets in 29 league appearances this season.
It’s hard for me to get a grop on a total when it comes to Spal as you never know if they’re going to show up or not, especially now that we can confirm relegation for Spal. With that said, four of the five all time meetings have seen at least three goals, the same number of goals in each of Roma’s last five matches as well. I think we get to that number somehow, someway, so I’ll side with the over 3 goals as my free pick for this match, but I have a much stronger play on the side which you can find as a premium pick here.