Lecce vs. Brescia 7/22/20 Serie A Soccer Prediction and Picks
Brescia (6-5-22) at Lecce (7-8-19)
Serie A Soccer: Wednesday July 22, 2020 at 3:45 PM (Stadio Via del Mare)
The Line: Lecce -125 / Draw +305 / Brescia +315 -- O/U: 3 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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Lecce plays host to Brescia in Serie A soccer action from the Stadio Via del Mare on Wednesday afternoon.
Lecce enter this match in 18th place on 29 points after a heartbreaking 2-1 loss to Genoa last time out. The loss dropped Lecce to 7 wins, 8 draws and 19 losses this season. In the loss to Genoa, Lecce fell behind in the 7th minute, but had a golden chance to pull level just before halftime but Marco Mancosu would miss from the penalty spot, sending the ball about 20 rows deep over the crossbar. Mancosu would make amends on the hour mark, tying the game at one for Lecce, but an own goal from Gabriel Vasconelos would give Genoa a 2-1 lead with nine minutes plus stoppage time to go, a lead they wouldn’t relinquish the rest of the way. Mancosu leads Lecce in scoring with 12 goals while Gianluca Lapaduia has 7 goals and Filippo Falco, Jacopo Petriccione and Riccardo Saponara each have a team-high 4 assists this season. Vasconelos leads Lecce in goal, conceding 2.22 goals per 90 minutes with two clean sheets in 30 league appearances this season.
Brescia on the other hand, enter this game in 19th place on 24 points with a record of 6 wins, 6 draws and 22 losses following a 2-1 win over Spal last time out. In the win over Spal, Brescia found themselves behind late on in the first half when Spal took a 1-0 lead in the 42nd minute but Jaromir Zmrhal would equalize for Brescia in the 69th and Brescia would find a go-ahead goal three minutes later, but VAR would overturn the decision after discovering an offside player in the buildup to the goal. Brescia would find the winner late when Zmrhal completed his brace in the third minute of second-half stoppage time, stealing the win and the points for Brescia at full time. Alfredo Donnarumma leads Brescia in scoring with 7 goals while Ernesto Torregrossa has 6 goals and Sandro Tonali has a team-high 7 assists this season. Jesse Joronen is Brescia’s top goalkeeper, conceding 1.82 goals per 90 minutes with 5 clean sheets in 28 league apperances this season.
The loss to Genoa really was a backbreaker for Lecce, as a win would’ve seen Lecce jump out of the relegation zone and be two points up instead of four points adrift. With that said, while Brescia got a key win over Spal and have a decent win over Verona, the fact is that since the two sides were together in Serie B last season, the home team has won all three head-to-head meetings and Brescia just hasn’t played well on the road since the restart, losing their last three matches by a combined score of 15-3. I don’t think Lecce puts the hurt on Brescia here, but I think that Lecce getting out of the drop zone is a lot more attainable than Brescia so I’ll side with Lecce on the ML here.