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Lecce (7-7-17) at Cagliari (10-10-11)
Serie A Soccer: Sunday July 12, 2020 at 1:30 PM (Sardegna Arena)
The Line: Cagliari -135 / Draw +300 / Lecce +360 -- O/U: 3 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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Cagliari plays host to Lecce in Serie A soccer action from the Sardegna Arena on Sunday afternoon.
Cagliari comes into this match in 11th place on 40 points with a record of 10 wins, 10 draws and 11 losses following a scoreless draw with Fiorentina last time out. In the draw with Fiorentina, the first half saw a single booking go Fiorentina’s way and despite Cagliari having a strong second half with 5 shots on goal, neither side would find a go-ahead goal as the match finished with goose eggs on the board. Joao Pedro leads Cagliari in scoring with 17 goals with 4 assists while Giovanni Simeone has 10 goals and Radja Nainggolan has 6 goals with a team-high 7 assists on the year.
Lecce on the other hand, sit in 17th place on 28 points with a record of 7 wins, 7 draws and 17 losses following a 2-1 win over Lazio last time out. In the win over Lazio, Lecce had a goal overturned in the 2nd minute when Marco Mancosu had a goal disallowed via VAR and Lazio would respond just three minutes later. Khouma Babacar would tie the game for Lecce on the half hour mark and Mancosu’s horrors would continue late in first half stoppage time when he missed from the penalty spot, sending his shot about 20 rows deep. Fabio Lucioni would give Lecce a 2-1 lead just two minutes after the half, and despite Lazio having 54% possession with 6 shots on goal, Lecce would hold on for a massive result at full time. Mancosu leade Lecce in scoring with 11 goals while Filippo Falco, Jacopo Petriccione and Riccardo Saponara each have 4 assists this season. Gabriel Vasconelos is Lecce’s $1 goalkeeper, conceding 2.28 goals per 90 minutes with one clean sheet in 27 league appearances this season.
The plus money with Lecce is tempting considering their shock midweek win over Lazio. However, while Cagliari is winless in their last three games, scoring just one goal over that span, their other home game resulted in a 4-2 win against Torino. Lecce’s win made it 5 straight games since the restart with over 2.5 goals and seven straight if you go back before the pause. Lecce need the points more but do I trust their consistency? No. Not by a longshot. I’m just going to side with the over 3 goals and hope the trend of high scoring Lecce games continues.
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Chris’s Pick Over 3 Goals -105
AUTHOR: Chris Ruffolo
Mitch's Take...
