Genoa vs. Napoli 7/8/20 Serie A Soccer Prediction and Picks
Napoli (14-6-10) at Genoa (6-9-15)
Serie A Soccer: Wednesday July 1, 2020 at 1:30 PM (Stadio Luigi Ferraris)
The Line: Genoa +500 / Draw +310 / Napoli -180 -- O/U: 2.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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Genoa plays host to Napoli in Serie A soccer action from the Stadio Luigi Ferraris on Wednesday afternoon.
Genoa comes into this match in 17th place, two points clear of the drop zone on 27 points with a record of 6 wins, 9 draws and 15 losses following a 2-2 draw with Udinese last time out. In the tie with Udinese, Genoa fell behind just before the half and the lead would hold until Udinese doubled the lead in the 73rd minute. Goran Pandev pulled one back for Genoa to make it 2-1 eight minutes later. Genoa were given a lifeline to tie the game in the dying moments, when a penalty was awarded late in stoppage time. Andrea Pinamonti would miss the spot kick but would bury his own rebound to pull even at the final whistle. Pandev leads Genoa in scoring with 8 goals on the year while Pinamonti has 5 goals and Paolo Ghiglione has a team-high 5 assists this season. Mattia Perin is Genoa’s top goalkeeper, conceding 1.77 goals per 90 minutes with 3 clean sheets in 13 appearances this season.
Napoli on the other hand, come into this match in 6th place on 48 points, tied with Roma after picking up a 2-1 win over Roma in the last match. The win brought Napoli to 14 wins, 6 draws and 10 losses on the year. In the victory over Roma, neither side would find the back of the net in the first half but each side would end up in the referee’s book for a yellow card. Jose Callejon would break the tie in the second half, giving Napoli a 1-0 lead ten minutes after the break but Roma would equalize five minutes later. The game would remain deadlocked until Lorenzo Insigne would give Napoli the lead for good in the 82nd minute, leaving Roma empty-handed at full time and pulling Napoli level on points. Arkadiusz Milik leads Napoli in scoring with 10 goals on the year while Dries Mertens has 7 goals with 4 assists and Insigne has 6 goals with 5 helpers. Callejon’s assist gives him a team-high 6 assists on the year.
I considered the draw as it’s been the result of the last two head-to-head clashes. However, Napoli is unbeaten against Genoa since 2012, and while Genoa could use a result to create distance from the relegation zone, Napoli is just the team in much better form. I’ll side with Napoli to win and to get the price down, I’ll package the Napoli win with the over 1.5 goals as I could easily see this finishing 2-0 for the double blue.