AC Milan vs. Juventus 7/7/20 Serie A Soccer Prediction and Picks
Juventus (24-3-3) at AC Milan (13-7-10)
Serie A Soccer: Tuesday July 7, 2020 at 3:45 PM (San Siro)
The Line: AC Milan +250 / Draw +245 / Juventus +105 -- O/U: 2.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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AC Milan and Juventus meet in Serie A soccer action from the San Siro on Tuesday afternoon.
AC Milan comes into this match in 7th place on 46 points, two points out of the Europa League spots with a record of 13 wins, 7 draws and 10 losses following a 3-0 win over Lazio last time out. In the win over Lazio, Hakan Calhanoglu opened the scoring for Milan in the 23rd minute and Zlatan Ibrahimovic doubled Milan’s lead just 11 minutes later. The lead would hold going into the second half where Ante Rebic added a 3rd AC Milan goal just before the hour mark and despite Lazio’s best efforts to get back into the game, AC Milan would slam the door shut the rest of the way, picking up a massive three points heading into this clash with the league leaders. Rebic leads AC Milan in scoring with 9 goals while Calhanoglu leads Milan in assists with 3 assists this season. Gianluigi Donnarumma leads AC Milan as the starting goalkeeper, conceding 1.12 goals per 90 minutes with 11 clean sheets in 28 league appearances this season.
Juventus on the other hand continue to lead the league in the table, on 75 points with a record of 24 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses after a 4-1 win over Torino in their last match. In the victory over Torino, Paulo Dybala gave Juve the lead in the 3rd minute before Juan Cuadrado doubled Juventus’ lead in the 29th. Torino would pull a goal back from the penalty spot late into first half stoppage time, but Cristiano Ronaldo would restore the two-goal cushion just after the hour mark. Torino would try to get back into the game, but an own goal in the 87th minute would be Torino’s undoing and would secure the win for Juventus at full time. Ronaldo leads Juventus in scoring with 25 goals along with 5 assists while Dybala has 11 goals with 5 assists and Rodrigo Bentancur has a team-high 6 assists this season.
This is a spirited rivalry, but the problem with backing Milan, even at home, is that Juventus hasn’t lost to AC Milan since 2016 across any competition. This may be the time for AC to break that streak and get back into the Europa League places, but based on history and the price on Juve, I can’t pull the trigger on Milan. A win for Juventus here would help keep distance between themselves and Lazio for the title, but a slip would put pressure on Juventus down the stretch. It’s also not often that you get plus money (even slight plus money) with Juventus, so when it shows up, I feel it’s a must play. I’ll side with Juventus on the ML as well as taking Juventus to win with the under 3.5 goals as each of the last three and five of the last six wins within the league have seen three goals or less.