Granada vs. Valencia 7/4/20 La Liga Soccer Picks and Prediction

Granada vs. Valencia 7/4/20 La Liga Soccer Picks and Prediction Photo by

Valencia (12-10-11) at Granada (13-7-13)

La Liga Soccer: Saturday, July 4, 2020 at 4:00 pm (Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes)

The Line: Granada +185 / Draw +215 / Valencia +150 -- O/U: 2.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Granada and Valencia square off in La Liga soccer action from the Estadio Nuevo Los Carmenes on Saturday afternoon.

Granada come into this match in 9th place on 16 points with a record of 13 wins, 7 draws and 13 losses despite picking up a 2-0 win over Alaves in their last match. In the victory over Alaves, Antonin gave Granada the lead 25 minutes into the game, and the lead held through the halftime break. Roberto Soldado doubled Granada’s lead four minutes after the break, and despite Alaves’ best efforts, with 59% possession and 3 shots on goal in the second half, Granada would hold strong defensively, picking up the win for Granada and the three points that go with it. Carlos Fernandez leads Granada in scoring with 7 goals on the year while Darwin Machis has 6 goals with 4 assists. Victor Diaz has a team-high 5 assists while Angel Montoro and Roberto Soldado each have 4 assists as well. Rui Tiago leads Granada in goal, conceding 1.1 goals per 90 minutes with 11 clean sheets in 30 league appearances this season.

Valencia on the other hand, come into this one in 10th place, sitting on 46 points as well with a record of 12 wins, 10 draws and 11 losses after a 3rd straight defeat (to nil no less) in the form of a 2-0 loss to Athletic Bilbao in their last match. In the loss to Bilbao, Valencia fell behind in the 13th minute, and the goal would hold up until Bilbao doubled the lead two minutes after the halftime break. Valencia had 58% possession in the second half, but were outshot by Bilbao 7-5 in terms of attempts at goal and 3-0 in regards to shots on goal, leaving Valencia held off of the scoreboard and empty-handed at full time. Maxi Gomez leads Valencia in scoring with 9 goals while Daniel Parejo has 8 goals and Rodrigo Moreno leads Valencia in assists with 7 assists on the year. Daniel Wass also has 6 assists for Valencia on the year.

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This game to me is about picking the lesser of two evils, as you have Granada at home, with no fans for home field advantage and they haven’t beaten Valencia in the league in the eight-year history between the two sides. Valencia though, is winless in their last six league fixtures and have only scored one goal in that span, being outscored 13-1. Instead of trying to pick a side, I’m going to side with the under 2.5 goals. It’s a heavier price, but regardless of a side I just see this being a low scoring game regardless of the winner so the under is the play here for me.

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Chris’s Pick Under 2.5 Goals -165

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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