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Mallorca (8-5-20) at Atletico Madrid (15-14-4)
La Liga Soccer: Friday July 3, 2020 at 4:00 pm (Wanda Metropolitano)
The Line: Atletico Madrid -360 / Draw +425 / Mallorca +1100 -- O/U: 2.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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Atletico Madrid play host to Mallorca in La Liga soccer action from the Wanda Metropolitano on Friday afternoon.
Atletico Madrid come into this match in 3rd place on 59 points with a record of 15 wins, 14 draws and 4 losses after a 2-2 tie with Barcelona in their last match. In the draw with Barca, Atletico fell behind 1-0 in the 11th minute when Diego Costa put the ball into his own net. Saul responded just eight minutes later from the penalty spot to give us a 1-1 game at the half. Barca took the lead with a penalty of their own to make it 2-1 five minutes after halftime, but Atletico would receive and convert a second penalty to tie the match at two and despite their best efforts to eke out a result, both sides would have to settle for a sharing of the spoils at the full time whistle. Alvaro Morata leads Atletico Madrid in scoring with 9 goals on the year while Joao Felix and Saul each have 6 goals. Angel Correa has 5 goals and a team-high 6 assists this season. Jan Oblak is Atletico Madrid’s top goalkeeper, conceding 0.67 goals per 90 minutes with 14 clean sheets in 33 league appearances this season.
Mallorca enters this one in 18th place on 29 points with a record of 8 wins, 5 draws and 20 losses following a 5-win over Celta Vigo in their last game. In the victory over Celta Vigo, Ante Budimir gave Mallorca the lead in the 13th from the penalty spot before Cucho doubled Mallorca’s lead in the 27th. Alejandro Pozo pushed the lead to 3-0 in the 40th and the lead held until Vigo got on the board in the 50th minute. Budimir restored the three-goal lead two minutes later and pushed it to 5-1 on the hour mark. Mallorca would ride out the last half hour and complete the blowout win for Mallorca in the end. Budimir’s brace gives him a team-high 12 goals on the year while Takefusa Kubo has a team-high 4 assists on the year. Manuel Reina leads Mallorca in goal, conceding 1.56 goals per 90 minutes with 4 clean sheets in 32 league appearances this season.
I get why plus money with Mallorca is worth a look after how Mallorca snapped off 5 goals against Celta Vigo. The problem is that Mallorca has lost 13 of 16 away matches this season, and are 0-0-8 in eight road matches against teams in the top half of the La Liga table (after Tuesday’s games) and six of those games were by two or more goals. Atletico’s won nine games via shutout this season, including the reverse fixture with Mallorca and I think the Rojiblancos do it again here so I’ll side with Atletico to win with both teams to score -no as well as Atletico Madrid -1.5 and the correct score of 2-0 for sizeable plus odds.
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Chris’s Pick Atletico Madrid to win & BTTS - No (-120) /Atletico Madrid -1.5 Handicap (+105) / 2-0 Atletico Correct Score (+425)
AUTHOR: Chris Ruffolo
Mitch's Take...
