Torino vs. Lazio 6/30/20 Serie A Soccer Prediction and Picks
Lazio (20-5-3) at Torino (6-8-14)
Serie A Soccer: Tuesday June 30, 2020 at 4:00 pm (Stadio Olimpico di Torino)
The Line: Torino +320 / Draw +270 / Lazio -125 -- O/U: 2.5
Torino host Lazio in Serie A soccer action from the Stadio Olimpico di Torino on Tuesday afternoon.
Torino come into this one on 31 points with a record of 9 wins, 4 draws and 15 losses after a 4-2 loss to Cagliari in their last match. In the defeat against Cagliari, Torino went from tied at 0-0 to down 2-0 in a span of five minutes when Cagliari struck in the 12th and 17th minutes. Torino would concede a 3rd goal right out of the halftime break, but Bremer would get Torino on the board on the hour mark and Andrea Belotti would make it 3-2 just five minutes later. Cagliari would respond three minutes after that from the penalty spot, restoring the two-goal lead and shutting the door on any potential Torino comeback. Belotti’s goal gives him a team-high 11 goals on the year while Simone Verdi has a team-hgih 4 assists for Torino on the year. Salvatore Sirigu is Torino’s leading goalkeeper, conceding 1.71 goals per 90 minutes with 6 clean sheets in 28 league appearances this season.
Lazio come into this game in 2nd with 65 points, four points behind league-leading Juventus with a record of 20 wins, 5 draws and 3 losses after a 2-1 win over Fiorentina in their last match. In the win over Fiorentina, Lazio fell behind in the 25th minute and the lead would hold through the halftime break and for a good chunk of the second half before Ciro Immobile tied things up for Lazio from the penalty spot in the 67th. Luis Alberto would give Lazio the lead in the 83rd and Lazio wouldn’t look back, holding on for a huge win in the title race. Immobile leads not just Lazio, but all of Serie A with his 28th goal of the season while Alberto added his 5th goal to go along with a team-high 13 assists this season.
This line feels funny to me as Lazio is the far better team, but are still a favorite barely above even money. I’m guessing it’s a product of the loss to Atalanta followed up by the sluggish start against Fiorentina. Torino has also won just once against Lazio at home in the last five years and while the teams change over time, it’s safe to say that this may the best that Lazio’s been in a long, long time. I also think Lazio knows that they can ill afford to drop anymore points down the stretch if they want to chase down Juventus, so I’ll side with Lazio to win as my main bet for this match.