Udinese vs. Atalanta 6/28/20 Serie A Soccer Prediction and Picks

Udinese vs. Atalanta 6/28/20 Serie A Soccer Prediction and Picks Photo by

Atalanta (16-6-5) at Udinese (7-7-13)

Serie A Soccer: Sunday June 28, 2020 at 1:30 pm (Dacia Arena)

The Line: Udinese +575 / Draw +355 / Atalanta -225 -- O/U: 2.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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Udinese square off against Atalanta in Serie A soccer action from the Dacia Arena on Sunday afternoon.

Udinese enter this match in 15th place with 28 points and a record of 7 wins, 7 draws and 13 losses after a 1-0 loss to Torino in their last match. In the loss to Torino, Udinese fell behind after just 16 minutes of play and despite holding edges of 59% possession with 7 shot attempts and 5 shots on target, Udinese wouldn’t be able to find a game-tying goal over the course of the last 74+ minutes from that point on. Rodrigo de Paul and Stefano Okaka each have a team-high 5 goals this season while Seko Fofana has a team-high 4 assists for Udinese this season. Juan Agustin Musso is Udinese’s top goalkeeper, conceding 1.33 goals per 90 minutes with 9 clean sheets in 27 league appearances this season.

Atalanta on the other hand, sit in 4th place on 54 points after extending their league unbeaten run to seven games with a 3-2 win over Lazio in their last match. In the win over Lazio, Atalanta went from tied at 0-0 in the 5th to down 2-0 in the 11th minute but Robin Gosens would get Atalanta on the board in the 38th minute. Ruslan Malinovsky would tie the game at two in the 66th minute and Jose Palomino would complete the comeback for Atalanta in the 80th minute to give Atalanta a 3-2 lead. Lazio wouldn’t have an answer over the final 10+ minutes, leaving Atalanta the W and the three points that go with it. Josip Ilicic leads Atalanta in scoring with 15 goals while Duvan Zapata and Luis Muriel each have 13 goals and Alejandro Gomez has a team-high 12 assists this season. Pierluigi Gollini is Atalanta’s #1 goalkeeper, conceding 1.25 goals per 90 minutes with 5 clean sheets in 24 league appearances this season.

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I’d like to give Udinese a shot here, but the problem is that there are no fans in the stands for this one and that home advantage would’ve been huge. Udinese is on a brutal eight-game winless run and have been outscored in five league games against teams in the top four (which Atalanta currently is) by a combined score of 16-2 across those games, and shocker, Udinese lost all five of those matches. Numbers like that won’t cut it against Serie A’s highest scoring side, with Atalanta cranking out 77 goals up to this point in the season. I’ll side with Atalanta here on the -1.5 handicap to get the wager into plus money in this one.

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Chris’s Pick Atalanta -1.5 (+125)

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The pick in this article is the opinion of the writer, not a PickDawgz site consensus.

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