Brescia vs. Genoa 6/27/20 Serie A Soccer Prediction and Picks
Genoa (6-7-14) at Brescia (4-5-18)
Serie A Soccer: Saturday June 20, 2020 at 11:15 am (Stadio Mario Rigamonti)
The Line: Brescia +195 / Draw +240 / Genoa +135 -- O/U: 2.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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Brescia play host to Genoa in Serie A soccer action from the Stadio Mario Rigamonti on Saturday morning.
Brescia come into the match sitting dead last in 20th place with a record of 4 wins, 5 draws and 18 losses after picking up point number 17 on the year with a 1-1 draw with Fiorentina in their last match. In the draw with Fiorentina, Alfredo Donnarumma gave Brescia the lead in the 17th minute from the penalty spot, but Fiorentina would be quick to respond, tying the game at one goal apiece just 12 minutes later. Brescia would own the bulk of the possession in the second half, but Fiorentina would hold a 15-5 edge in terms of attempts at goal in the game as well as an 8-3 lead in terms of shots on target, but neither side would find a go-ahead goal over the course of the second half, settling for shared points at full time. Donnarumma’s penalty goal ties him with Mario Balotelli for the team-high with 5 goals on the year while Sandro Tonati has a team-high 5 assists this season. Jesse Joronen is Brescia’s top goalkeeper, conceding 1.7 goals per 90 minutes with 4 clean sheets in 23 league appearances this season.
Genoa enter this match in 17th place tied with Lecce on 25 points with a record of 6 wins, 7 draws and 14 losses following a 4-1 loss to Parma in their last match. In the defeat against Parma, Genoa fell behind just 18 minutes in and had a golden chance to respond in the 29th minute but Domenico Criscito would miss from the penalty spot and Parma would make Genoa pay for that mistake, taking a 2-0 lead just four minutes later. Parma extended the lead to 3-0 in the 53rd before Iago Falque buried from the spot in Genoa’s second attempt just six minutes later. That was as close as Genoa would get though, as Parma added a 4th goal to restore the three goal cushion late in the second half. Criscito and Goran Pandev are tied for the team lead with 7 goals apiece this season while Paolo Ghighlione has a team-high 5 assists for Genoa on the year. Mattia Perin leads Genoa between the sticks as their top goalkeeper, conceding 1.6 goals per 90 minutes with 3 clean sheets in 10 league appearances this season.
There’s not a ton head-to-head to go off of, as the reverse fixture earlier this season was the only meeting in the last five years and obviously the teams are extremely different since then. With that said, While the draw with Fiorentina was nice, I’m still not particularly sold on Brescia as I think that draw was more about rust on Fiorentina’s part. Realistically, Brescia’s just been terrible this season, especially at home where they have a worse record than what they have away from home. Genoa won’t have to contend with away supporters and their last two road games (even though they came back in February and March) resulted in wins over AC Milan and Bologna and Genoa’s actually unbeaten in their last four road games with draws against Fiorentina and Atalanta thrown in as well. I’ll side with Genoa to pick up the points with a win on the ML here.