Hoffenheim vs. Union Berlin 6/20/20 Bundesliga Soccer Picks and Prediction
Union Berlin (11-5-16) at Hoffenheim (13-7-12)
Bundesliga Soccer: Saturday June 20, 2020 at 9:30 am (PreZero Arena)
The Line: Hoffenheim -170 / Draw +320 / Union Berlin +426 -- O/U: 3 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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Hoffenhein host Union Berlin in Bundesliga soccer action from the PreZero Arena on Saturday morning.
Hoffenheim come into this match in 7th place, holding onto the last spot for Europa League next season, tied with Wolfsburg on 46 points with a record of 13 wins, 7 draws and 12 losses after picking up a 3-1 win over Augsburg in their last match. The first half was quiet, with not a single booking or goal to speak of, but things opened up in the second half around the hour mark as Hoffenheim went from tied at zero to 2-0 up in a span of three minutes with a brace from Munas Dabbur in the 59th and 62nd minutes. Augsburg responded with a goal seven minutes later, but Ihlas Bebou would score in the 89th minute to secure the win and the three points for Hoffenheim in a key victory. Andrej Kramaric leads Hoffenheim in scoring with 7 goals this year while Christoph Baumgartner is right behind with 6 goals on the year. Robert Skov has 4 goals and a team-high 6 assists while Pavel Kaderabek is right behind with 5 assists. Oliver Baumann is the #1 goalkeeper for Hoffenheim, conceding 1.68 goals per 90 minutes with 5 clean sheets in 28 league appearances this season.
Union Berlin on the other side, come into this one in 12th place with 38 points, tied with Hertha Berlin after back-to-back wins to get their record to 11 wins, 5 draws and 16 losses after a 1-0 win over Paderborn last time out. In the win against the cellar dwellers in Paderborn, Union Berlin would take advantage of a Paderborn own goal in the 27th minute and ride that goal the rest of the way despite being outpossessed by Paderborn with Union holding onto the ball for just 42% of the match. Union Berlin did have 14 attempts at goal to Paderborn’s 10 with a 6-2 edge in terms of shots on goal. Sebastian Andersson leads Union Berlin in scoring with 12 goals on the year while Christopher Trimmel leads Union Berlin in the assists department with 8 assists. Rafal Gikiewicz leads Union in goal as the leading goaltender, conceding 1.53 goals per 90 minutes with 7 clean sheets in 32 league appearances this season.
Union Berlin getting this kind of plus money is tempting considering that Hoffenheim don’t have a great track record when favored at home this season, failing to win 60% of their matches in that spot. However, Union have nothing but pride to play for at this point as they can’t catch one of the Europa spots with wins in their last two games, and they’ve already secured safety from relegation. Hoffenheim on the other hand, need a win to keep distance between themselves and Freiburg for that last spot and could clinch the spot considering Freiburg is in a seemingly tough spot against Bayern Munich (although we don’t know how Bayern is going to play the last couple of games with Champions League on deck and having already won the Bundesliga title). I think that Hoffenheim knows the severity of the situation, so I’ll side with Hoffenheim and the -1 handicap to get the price on the hosts down a little bit.