Borussia Dortmund vs. Mainz 05 6/17/20 Bundesliga Soccer Picks and Prediction
Mainz 05 (9-4-18) at Borussia Dortmund (20-6-5)
Bundesliga Soccer: Wednesday, June 17, 2020 at 2:30 PM (Signal Iduna Park)
The Line: Borussia Dortmund -450 / Draw +525 / Mainz 05 +1000 -- O/U: 3.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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Borussia Dortmund host Mainz 05 in Bundesliga soccer action from Signal Iduna Park on Wednesday afternoon.
Borussia Dortmund come into this match sitting in 2nd place, holding onto their thin title hopes on 66 points, seven points behind Bayern Munich with three games to play. Dortmund has a record of 20 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses after a 3rd straight win in the form of a 1-0 win over Fortuna Dusseldorf in their last match. In the win over Dusseldorf, the match sat scoreless with no bookings in the first half, and Dortmund thought they had taken the lead in the 65th minute before VAR ruled out Dortmund’s goal thanks to a missed handball. We looked destined for a draw but substitute Erling Haaland would steal the win and all three points for Borussia Dortmund with a goal in the 5th minute of second half stoppage time.
Mainz 05 on the other hand, enter this match in 15th place, three points clear of the relegation zone on 31 points with a record of 9 wins, 4 draws and 18 losses following a 1-0 loss to Augsburg in their last appearance. In the loss to Augsburg, Mainz fell behind in the 1st minute and despite owning 64% possession with edges of 18-9 in terms of goal attempts and 4-3 in terms of shots on goal. Robin Quaisson leads Mainz 05 in scoring with 12 goals while Karim Onisiwo has a team-high 6 assists and Jean-Paul Boetius has 5 assists on the year.
I think Dortmund’s starting to resign themselves to their fate, that Bayern is probably going to be lifting the trophy at the end of all of this, but I still think Dortmund fights to the end. The problem is that BVB are doing just enough to get by, so it’s hard to find value against teams like Mainz, especially with how Dortmund struggled to put away Dusseldorf. I do think Dortmund wins here, but I don’t think they bury Mainz either so I’ll take Dortmund to win with BTTS-No for decent plus money as well as a correct score of 1-0 Dortmund for sizeable plus odds as well.