Werder Bremen vs. Bayern Munich 6/16/20 Bundesliga Soccer Picks and Prediction
Bayern Munich (23-4-4) at Werder Bremen (7-7-17)
Bundesliga Soccer: Tuesday June 16, 2020 at 2:30 PM (Weserstadion)
The Line: Werder Bremen +1300 / Draw +600 / Bayern Munich -650 -- O/U: 3.5 Click Here for the Latest Odds
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Werder Bremen and Bayern Munich meet in Bundesliga soccer action from the Weserstadion on Tuesday afternoon.
Werder Bremen enter this match in the relegation zone, sitting on 28 points with a record of 7 wins, 7 draws and 17 losses after a 5-1 dismantling of Paderborn in their last match. Werder Bremen had a golden opportunity in the 19th minute but Milos Rashica missed from the penalty spot, leaving the game scoreless. Davy Klaassen would give Bremen the lead just a minute later before Yuya Osako pushed the lead to 2-0 in the 34th minute and Klaassen pushed the advantage to 3-0 in the 39th minute. Max Eggestein made it 4-0 Bremen in the 59th but Paderborn would pull a goal back in the 66th minute. Niclas Fullkrud made it 5 for Bremen in the second minute of stoppage time to add salt to the wound and secure the win and a massive three points for Werder Bremen in the relegation race. Milot Rashica leads Werder Bremen with 7 goals and 5 assists this season while Davy Klaassen has 6 goals with 4 assists and Yuya Osako has 5 goals on the year. Jiri Pavlenka is the top goalkeeper for Werder Bremen, conceding 1.97 goals per 90 minutes with 4 clean sheets in 30 league appearances this season.
Bayern Munich on the other hand can hoist the trophy with a win here, sitting on 73 points, seven points clear of Dortmund in 2nd with a record of 23 wins, 4 draws and 4 losses after a 2-1 win over Borussia Monchengladbach in their last match. In the win over Gladbach, Bayern dodged a bullet when the visitors had a goal overturned by VAR in the 16th minute due to an offside player in the buildup to the goal. Joshua Zirkzee opened the scoring for Bayern in the 26th, but Benjamin Pavard would put the ball in his own net in the 37th to tie the game at one. The game looked destined for a draw before Leon Goretzka pulled out a winner in the 86th minute to steal the win and all three points for Bayern at the final whistle. Robert Lewandowski missed the game because of a yellow card accumulation but still leads Bayern in scoring with 30 goals this season while Serge Gnabry has 12 goals with 10 assists and Thomas Muller, who also missed the game because of yellow cards, leads Bayern with 20 assists on the year. Manuel Neuer is the top goalkeeper for Bayern, conceding 0.94 goals per 90 minutes with 12 clean sheets in 31 league appearances this season.
I considered taking a stab at Werder Bremen at home, but being realistic, with Bayern knowing a win here automatically gives them the Bundesliga title, I don’t think Bayern will leave things to chance. Werder’s also been far less effective at home than on the road as they have just one win at home in 15 games this season. There’s also the elephant in the room that Bayern Munich has won 18 straight head-to-head meetings in the league, including a 6-1 win in the first meeting this season. It’s hard to find value here, but I think I’ll take Bayern Munich with the -1 handicap in the first half and -2 handicap at full time to get reasonable value with this matchup.