SC Freiburg vs. Werder Bremen 5/23/20 German Bundesliga Soccer Picks and Prediction
Werder Bremen (4-6-15) at SC Freiburg (10-7-9)
Bundesliga Soccer: Saturday May 16, 2020 at 9:30 AM (Schwarzwald-Stadion)
The Line: SC Freiburg +125 / Draw +260 / Werder Bremen +205 -- O/U: 2.5
TV: Fox Soccer Plus, Sportsnet, Sky Bundesliga Stream live sports and exclusive originals on ESPN+. Sign up now!
SC Freiburg and Werder Bremen square off in Bundesliga soccer action from Schwarzwald-Stadion on Saturday morning.
SC Freiburg come into this match in 7th place, sitting tied with Schalke 04 on 37 points with 10 wins, 7 draws and 9 losses after a hard-fought 1-1 draw with RB Leipzig last time out. In the match vs. RB Leipzig, Freiburg pulled ahead in the 34th minute with a goal from Manuel Gulde. Freiburg gave up 61% possession in the match and were outshot 23-7 and 9-2 in terms of shots on target, and the levee broke in the 2nd half as Leipzig tied the game at one with less than a quarter of an hour to go. Freiburg thought they had found the game-winner in second-half stoppage time, but a controversial VAR decision wiped out the goal and left both sides settling for a draw. Nils Petersen leads Freiburg in scoring with 8 goals this season while Christian Gunter has a team-high 5 assists.
Werder Bremen enter the match in desperation mode, sitting in the relegation zone on 18 points in 17th position with 4 wins, 6 draws and 15 losses following a 4-1 loss to Bayer Leverkusen in their last match. In the game against Bayer, Bremen fell behind in the 28th minute, but Theodor Gebre Selassie tied the game at one for Bremen just two minutes later at the half hour mark. Leverkusen re-took the lead just three minutes after that before pushing ahead 3-1 just after the hour mark and adding a 4th with 12 minutes to play, essentially putting Werder Bremen away by that point. Milot Rashica leads Werder Bremen with team-highs of 7 goals and 4 assists this season while Jiri Pavlenka is Werder Bremen’s #1 goalkeeper, averaging 2.29 goals conceded per 90 minutes with one clean sheet in 24 league appearances this season.
Werder Bremen are a better team on the road than they are at home this season, picking up at least a point in 7 of 13 away matches this season, and being in the relegation zone, Bremen may be the more desperate side here. However, I feel like Freiburg will feel slighted after the narrowest of margins cost them a big win against Leipzig last week and Freiburg has a legitimate chance at European soccer next season, sitting just two points back of Wolfsburg for 6th place and the Europa League play-off spot. I think that will give Freiburg a bit of extra drive and Werder Bremen just looks like a lost cause. I’ll side with Freiburg at home for the win here. =