Fortuna Dusseldorf vs. Paderborn 5/16/20 German Bundesliga Soccer Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Paderborn (4-4-17) at Fortuna Dusseldorf (5-7-13)
Bundesliga Soccer: Saturday May 16, 2020 at 9:30 AM (Merkur Spielarena)
The Line: Fortuna Dusseldorf +110 / Draw +260 / Paderborn +235 -- O/U: 2.5
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Two teams in the Bundesliga relegation battle square off when Fortuna Dusseldorf host Paderborn in a soccer matchup on Saturday morning.
Fortuna Dusseldorf is currently sitting in 16th place, owning a record of 5 wins, 7 draws and 13 losses with 22 points accumulated before the mandated hiatus due to the Coronavirus Pandemic. Dusseldorf came in sitting on back-to-back draws following a 1-1 tie with Mainz in their last game. In the match against Mainz, Dusseldorf went into the half deadlocked at zero before conceding just after the hour mark. It took an equalizer from Kenan Karamari to salvage a point with five minutes to go before injury time to earn a draw for the visiting Fortuna. Rouwen Hennings leads Fortuna with 11 goals on the year while Erik Thommy is 2nd with 5 goals and a team-high 4 assists.
Paderborn is in must-win mode, sitting dead last in the Bundesliga entering the COVID-19 break, sitting on just 16 points through 25 matches with a record of 4-4-17 this season after a 4th straight loss in the form of a 2-1 defeat to FC Koln, extending their winless run to 6 games. Paderborn found themselves in an early deficit as Koln struck just before the half hour mark and doubled their advantage just eight minutes later. Dennis Srbeny pulled a goal back for Paderborn, but it wasn’t enough as Koln held on for the victory. Strell Mamba leads Paderborn in scoring with 5 goas this season while the aforementioned Srbeny is right behind in 2nd with 4 tallies and Kai Proger has a team-high 6 assists this season.
I think a case is easier to make for Fortuna here as they’ve been the team in somewhat better form up to this point. However, there’s no spectators for this game, so that wipes out Dusseldorf’s home field advantage and Paderborn won the first meeting between the two in October. The bulk of Paderborn’s success has come against the bottom of the league this season, and they need to take advantage of spots like these if they’re going to have any hope of survival down the stretch. I’m conflicted between a draw and a potential Paderborn win, so I’ll side with Paderborn on a double chance to cover my bases in that regard.