Brett's Saturday College Football "RED ZONE" Premium 5-Game Package - Game 1

Brett's Saturday College Football "RED ZONE" Premium 5-Game Package - Game 1 Photo by Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

San Diego State Aztecs (11-1) vs Utah State Aggies (9-3)

Saturday, December 04, 2021 at 3:00 pm

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Utah State Aggies +6

The Utah State Aggies will take on the 19th ranked San Diego State Aztecs this afternoon in the Mountain West Championship game, and I like taking Aggies and the points here.

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Utah State comes into this game with an impressive 9-3 record and have been led by their offense which is averaging 32.2 ppg on 457.9 total yards per game (304.8 passing yds/g; 153.2 rushing yds/g).

San Diego State has been led by their defense, which is allowing just 17.3 ppg, however, the strength if this defense is against the run as the Aztecs rank just 78th in Passing Defense which could bode some trouble considering the Aggies pass for over 300 yards per game.

The Aggies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall & 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Aztecs are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall & 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.

San Diego State is a tough team, however, their games are generally competitive & low-scoring and as I just can’t trust the Aztecs offense to cover such a large spread, I think the play here is to take Utah State and the points.

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Brett’s Pick Utah State Aggies: +6 -105

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