Miami Heat (56-33) at Los Angeles Lakers (65-22)

Friday, October 02, 2020 at 9:00 pm

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At 9 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  This NBA Finals match-up had the potential to be a fascinating series.  Unfortunately, the Heat sustained injuries in Game 1, and now will be hard-pressed to upset the Lakers.  But I love Miami + the points in this Game 2, as the adjusted point spread has more-than-compensated for the concomitant loss of talent.  And one of the things I love to do when betting NBA playoffs is to take a team in Game 2 when it's getting significantly more (or laying significantly less) points in Game 2 than it did in Game 1.  Sometimes this happens due to injuries (like in this game), while other times, the line gets adjusted off an unexpected result in Game 1.  But what I've found is that it generally pays (87% since 1990) to play on the team getting a better number in Game 2 than in Game 1.  Likewise, teams off a loss in Game 1 have gone 48-31 ATS in Game 2 when they were an underdog of more than nine points.  This will be a competitive game tonight.  Take Miami + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

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Al’s Pick Miami Heat: +10 -110

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