Milwaukee Bucks (60-21) at Miami Heat (51-29)
Sunday, September 06, 2020 at 3:30 pm
At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over Miami. The Heat will aim to go 8-0 SU/ATS in the playoffs with a win and cover this afternoon. But their long SU/ATS win streak has led to a big movement in this point spread. If Miami was an underdog once again (they were a 5-point underdog in the series' first three games), I would consider grabbing the points. But they're a small favorite now. Consider that underdogs up 3-games-to-none have gone 14-4-1 ATS. However, small favorites of less than 3 points (or PK) have only covered 4 of 13 when up 3-games-to-none. We'll grab the value with Milwaukee, and fade the Heat. For technical support, also consider that, over the last 29 years, sub-.666 teams off an upset win that had covered their previous seven games have cashed just 47 of 139 games. Take Milwaukee. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
Al’s Pick Milwaukee Bucks: +2 -110
AUTHOR: Al McMordie
